Football · Belgium First Division A · 06/09, 13:30
Prediction: Cercle Brugge vs Gent
Team pages: Cercle Brugge · Gent
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Cercle Brugge1.3
Gent1.47
1X2
Cercle Brugge
Draw
Gent
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Cercle Brugge
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Gent
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cercle Brugge
3–1–2
Gent
(6 last)
- Gent0-1Cercle Brugge
- Cercle Brugge1-3Gent
- Cercle Brugge2-4Gent
- Gent1-1Cercle Brugge
- Cercle Brugge2-1Gent
- Gent1-2Cercle Brugge
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cercle Brugge 1453 · Gent 1562
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Gent | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Market | 33% | 27% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gent (rating 1453 vs 1562).
- H2H favours Cercle Brugge: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cercle Brugge | Gent | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7 | 2.4 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cercle Brugge 3–1–2 Gent
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/26 Belgium First Division A | Gent | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Cercle Brugge |
| 03/12/25 Belgium Cup | Cercle Brugge | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Gent |
| 28/09/25 Belgium First Division A | Cercle Brugge | 2-4 HT 2-2 | Gent |
| 15/12/24 Belgium First Division A | Gent | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Cercle Brugge |
| 26/09/24 Belgium First Division A | Cercle Brugge | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Gent |
| 11/02/24 Belgium First Division A | Gent | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Cercle Brugge |
Standings · Belgium First Division A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 1 | Charleroi | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Gent | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Union Saint Gilloise | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Zulte-Waregem | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Genk | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | Lommel | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Antwerp | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| 10 | Anderlecht | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Sint-Truidense | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | SK Beveren | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 3 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 16 | Westerlo | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 1 |
| 17 | OH Leuven | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 | KV Kortrijk | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cercle Brugge | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Sint-Truidense | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| RAAL La Louviere | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Gent (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cercle Brugge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Lommel Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Club Brugge Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/08 | Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A |
1-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Standard Liege Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
Gent
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | OH Leuven Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Club Brugge Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 16/08 | RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Genk Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Club Brugge Belgium First Division A |
0-3 | 0-5 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 21/05 | Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Anderlecht Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cercle Brugge vs Gent?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gent win (40%). Probabilities: Cercle Brugge 33%, draw 27%, Gent 40%.
How many goals are expected in Cercle Brugge vs Gent?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Cercle Brugge 1.3 · Gent 1.47), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cercle Brugge vs Gent?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.