Football · Scotland League Two · 29/08, 16:00

Prediction: Elgin vs Stirling

Team pages: Elgin · Stirling

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Elgin1.79
Stirling1.2
1X2
50% 26% 24%
Elgin Draw Stirling
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Elgin 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WLLDDLWDWD
Stirling 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
WLLDDDWLLD
Head-to-head
Elgin 2–3–1 Stirling (6 last)
  • Stirling2-2Elgin
  • Elgin1-0Stirling
  • Elgin2-2Stirling
  • Stirling1-1Elgin
  • Elgin3-0Stirling
  • Elgin0-2Stirling
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Elgin 1493 · Stirling 1457
ElginDrawStirling
Our model50%25%24%
Market50%26%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Elgin: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ElginStirling
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.41.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.60.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 3.92.7 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 03.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Elgin 231 Stirling

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
Scotland League Two
Stirling2-2
HT 1-2
Elgin
21/02/26
Scotland League Two
Elgin1-0
HT 0-0
Stirling
29/11/25
Scotland FA Cup
Elgin2-2
HT 1-0
Stirling
22/11/25
Scotland League Two
Stirling1-1
HT 0-0
Elgin
13/09/25
Scotland League Two
Elgin3-0
HT 1-0
Stirling
05/04/25
Scotland League Two
Elgin0-2
HT 0-1
Stirling

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Clyde 4301 839
2 Elgin 4220 1358
3 Forfar 4211 547
4 Kelty Hearts 4202 786
5 Spartans 4121 985
6 Stirling 4112 684
7 Stranraer 4112 464
8 Annan Athletic 4103 473
9 Dumbarton 4103 283
10 FC Edinburgh 4211 672

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentElginStirling
Spartans 3-3 D 2-2 D
Kelty Hearts 4-1 W 2-3 L
Forfar 1-1 D 0-3 L
FC Edinburgh 5-0 W 1-0 W
Stranraer 0-1 L 2-2 D
Clyde 2-0 W 1-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Elgin (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elgin

WLLDDLWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Spartans
Scotland League Two
2-1 3-3 35 D
15/08 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Two
1-0 4-1 43 W
08/08 Forfar
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-1 35 D
01/08 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
3-0 5-0 54 W
02/05 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
0-0 0-1 53 L
25/04 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-1 34 D
18/04 Stirling
Scotland League Two
2-1 2-2 32 D
11/04 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-3 56 L
04/04 Forfar
Scotland League Two
1-2 1-2 46 L
28/03 Clyde
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-0 44 W

Stirling

WLLDDDWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
0-2 2-2 95 D
15/08 Forfar
Scotland League Two
0-2 0-3 53 L
08/08 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Two
0-2 2-3 39 L
01/08 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-0 76 W
02/05 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-0 2-2 32 D
25/04 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-1 33 D
18/04 Elgin
Scotland League Two
1-2 2-2 42 D
11/04 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
0-1 1-2 65 L
04/04 Clyde
Scotland League Two
1-2 1-3 52 L
28/03 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 74 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elgin vs Stirling?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Elgin win (50%). Probabilities: Elgin 50%, draw 26%, Stirling 24%.

How many goals are expected in Elgin vs Stirling?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Elgin 1.79 · Stirling 1.2), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Elgin vs Stirling?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.