Prediction: Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton
Team pages: Annan Athletic · Dumbarton
- Dumbarton2-1Annan Athletic
- Annan Athletic1-0Dumbarton
- Dumbarton2-1Annan Athletic
- Annan Athletic3-4Dumbarton
- Dumbarton3-1Annan Athletic
- Annan Athletic2-1Dumbarton
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Dumbarton: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Annan Athletic | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 0.7 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 1.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Annan Athletic 2–0–4 Dumbarton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Scotland League Two | Dumbarton | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Annan Athletic |
| 10/02/26 Scotland League Two | Annan Athletic | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dumbarton |
| 08/11/25 Scotland League Two | Dumbarton | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Annan Athletic |
| 23/08/25 Scotland League Two | Annan Athletic | 3-4 HT 0-2 | Dumbarton |
| 26/04/25 Scotland League One | Dumbarton | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Annan Athletic |
| 08/02/25 Scotland League One | Annan Athletic | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Dumbarton |
Standings · Scotland League Two
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clyde | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Elgin | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Forfar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Kelty Hearts | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 5 | Spartans | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 6 | Stirling | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 7 | Stranraer | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | Annan Athletic | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 9 | Dumbarton | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Edinburgh | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Annan Athletic | Dumbarton |
|---|---|---|
| FC Edinburgh | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Clyde | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Stranraer | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Forfar | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| East Kilbride | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Annan Athletic (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Annan Athletic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 04/04 | East Kilbride Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 28/03 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Dumbarton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-4 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | East Kilbride Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 28/03 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Annan Athletic win (53%). Probabilities: Annan Athletic 53%, draw 25%, Dumbarton 22%.
How many goals are expected in Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Annan Athletic 1.82 · Dumbarton 1.1), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.