Prediction: Elgin vs Stranraer
- Elgin0-1Stranraer
- Stranraer1-2Elgin
- Elgin1-2Stranraer
- Stranraer1-1Elgin
- Elgin3-0Stranraer
- Stranraer1-0Elgin
| Elgin | Draw | Stranraer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Stranraer: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Elgin | Stranraer | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 3.4 / 7.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elgin 2–1–3 Stranraer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Stranraer |
| 28/02/26 Scotland League Two | Stranraer | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Elgin |
| 13/12/25 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Stranraer |
| 20/09/25 Scotland League Two | Stranraer | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Elgin |
| 26/04/25 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Stranraer |
| 15/02/25 Scotland League Two | Stranraer | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Elgin |
Standings · Scotland League Two
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clyde | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Stranraer | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Spartans | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 11 |
| 5 | Annan Athletic | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 9 |
| 7 | Forfar | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 8 |
| 8 | FC Edinburgh | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 6 |
| 9 | Dumbarton | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 6 |
| 10 | Stirling | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Elgin | Stranraer |
|---|---|---|
| Annan Athletic | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Dumbarton | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Stirling | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Spartans | 3-3 D | 1-0 W |
| Kelty Hearts | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Forfar | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Stranraer (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elgin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
Stranraer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
1-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elgin vs Stranraer?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Elgin win (43%). Probabilities: Elgin 43%, draw 26%, Stranraer 31%.
How many goals are expected in Elgin vs Stranraer?
The model expects 2.92 goals (Elgin 1.6 · Stranraer 1.31), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Elgin vs Stranraer?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.