Prediction: Dumbarton vs Spartans
Team pages: Dumbarton · Spartans
- Dumbarton3-0Spartans
- Spartans2-0Dumbarton
- Dumbarton1-2Spartans
- Spartans1-2Dumbarton
- Spartans2-2Dumbarton
- Dumbarton2-1Spartans
| Dumbarton | Draw | Spartans | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 23% | 56% |
| Market | 21% | 23% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartans (rating 1384 vs 1515).
- H2H favours Dumbarton: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dumbarton | Spartans | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2.2 | 2.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 4 | 2.1 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dumbarton 3–1–2 Spartans
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Scotland League Two | Dumbarton | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Spartans |
| 03/01/26 Scotland League Two | Spartans | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dumbarton |
| 18/10/25 Scotland League Two | Dumbarton | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Spartans |
| 09/08/25 Scotland League Two | Spartans | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Dumbarton |
| 17/05/24 Scotland League One Play-Offs | Spartans | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Dumbarton |
| 14/05/24 Scotland League One Play-Offs | Dumbarton | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Spartans |
Standings · Scotland League Two
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clyde | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Stranraer | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Spartans | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 11 |
| 5 | Annan Athletic | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 9 |
| 7 | Forfar | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 8 |
| 8 | FC Edinburgh | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 6 |
| 9 | Dumbarton | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 6 |
| 10 | Stirling | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dumbarton | Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Stranraer | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Elgin | 2-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Annan Athletic | 0-2 L | 4-2 W |
| FC Edinburgh | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Clyde | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Stirling | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Spartans (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dumbarton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-4 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | East Kilbride Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Spartans
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 3-3 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 01/08 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dumbarton vs Spartans?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartans win (56%). Probabilities: Dumbarton 21%, draw 23%, Spartans 56%.
How many goals are expected in Dumbarton vs Spartans?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Dumbarton 1.2 · Spartans 2.03), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Dumbarton vs Spartans?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.