Football · Scotland League Two · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Dumbarton vs Forfar

Team pages: Dumbarton · Forfar

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Dumbarton1.57
Forfar1.39
1X2
41% 27% 33%
Dumbarton Draw Forfar
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Dumbarton 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLLWLW
Forfar 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDWDWLDLLW
Head-to-head
Dumbarton 2–2–2 Forfar (6 last)
  • Dumbarton2-2Forfar
  • Forfar2-0Dumbarton
  • Dumbarton1-4Forfar
  • Forfar2-3Dumbarton
  • Forfar0-2Dumbarton
  • Dumbarton2-2Forfar
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dumbarton 1453 · Forfar 1480
DumbartonDrawForfar
Our model41%27%33%
Market41%26%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

DumbartonForfar
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 21.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 10.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 4.41.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 02.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dumbarton 2–2–2 Forfar

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Scotland League Two
Dumbarton2-2
HT 0-2
Forfar
07/02/26
Scotland League Two
Forfar2-0
HT 0-0
Dumbarton
22/11/25
Scotland League Two
Dumbarton1-4
HT 1-3
Forfar
13/09/25
Scotland League Two
Forfar2-3
HT 2-1
Dumbarton
06/04/24
Scotland League Two
Forfar0-2
HT 0-0
Dumbarton
10/02/24
Scotland League Two
Dumbarton2-2
HT 2-1
Forfar

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Clyde 8521 191017
2 Stranraer 8512 17816
3 Spartans 8332 191512
4 Elgin 8323 191411
5 Forfar 8323 81311
6 FC Edinburgh 8422 19159
7 Annan Athletic 8305 9109
8 Dumbarton 8305 8149
9 Kelty Hearts 8305 11189
10 Stirling 8125 10225

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDumbartonForfar
Spartans 3-0 W 1-5 L
Stranraer 1-3 L 0-3 L
Elgin 2-1 W 1-1 D
Annan Athletic 0-2 L 1-0 W
Kelty Hearts 1-3 L 1-0 W
FC Edinburgh 0-3 L 1-1 D
Clyde 1-0 W 0-3 L
Stirling 0-2 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 5 L 3 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dumbarton

LLLWLLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Spartans
Scotland League Two
1-0 3-0 54 W
12/09 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-3 33 L
05/09 Elgin
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-1 54 W
29/08 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
0-0 0-2 03 L
22/08 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Two
1-2 1-3 44 L
15/08 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-2 0-3 83 L
08/08 Clyde
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 45 W
01/08 Stirling
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-2 86 L
02/05 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-4 0-5 –– L
25/04 East Kilbride
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-1 34 L

Forfar

WDWDWLDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-0 31 W
12/09 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-3 1-5 23 L
05/09 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-3 –– L
28/08 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-1 86 D
22/08 Clyde
Scotland League Two
0-2 0-3 42 L
15/08 Stirling
Scotland League Two
2-0 3-0 83 W
08/08 Elgin
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-1 55 D
01/08 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-0 41 W
02/05 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-1 82 D
25/04 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
2-0 4-0 80 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dumbarton vs Forfar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dumbarton win (41%). Probabilities: Dumbarton 41%, draw 27%, Forfar 33%.

How many goals are expected in Dumbarton vs Forfar?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Dumbarton 1.57 · Forfar 1.39), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dumbarton vs Forfar?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.