Prediction: Kelty Hearts vs Elgin
Team pages: Kelty Hearts · Elgin
- Elgin4-1Kelty Hearts
- Elgin3-2Kelty Hearts
- Kelty Hearts3-1Elgin
- Elgin1-1Kelty Hearts
- Elgin0-0Kelty Hearts
- Kelty Hearts4-0Elgin
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Elgin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 24% | 45% |
| Market | 30% | 26% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elgin (rating 1482 vs 1544).
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kelty Hearts | Elgin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2 | 2.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kelty Hearts 2–2–2 Elgin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/26 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Kelty Hearts |
| 30/11/24 Scotland FA Cup | Elgin | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Kelty Hearts |
| 07/09/24 Scotland League Challenge Cup | Kelty Hearts | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Elgin |
| 16/07/24 Scotland League Cup | Elgin | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Kelty Hearts |
| 19/03/22 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kelty Hearts |
| 05/02/22 Scotland League Two | Kelty Hearts | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Elgin |
Standings · Scotland League Two
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Clyde | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 18 | 23 |
| 3 | Elgin | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 17 | 18 |
| 4 | Spartans | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 15 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 15 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
| 7 | Stirling | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 12 |
| 8 | FC Edinburgh | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 11 |
| 9 | Forfar | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 11 |
| 10 | Annan Athletic | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 21 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kelty Hearts | Elgin |
|---|---|---|
| Forfar | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Stirling | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Spartans | 2-0 W | 3-3 D |
| FC Edinburgh | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Clyde | 1-4 L | 6-2 W |
| Annan Athletic | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Stranraer | 0-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Dumbarton | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Kelty Hearts (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kelty Hearts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/10 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
Elgin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 6-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kelty Hearts vs Elgin?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Elgin win (45%). Probabilities: Kelty Hearts 30%, draw 25%, Elgin 45%.
How many goals are expected in Kelty Hearts vs Elgin?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Kelty Hearts 1.53 · Elgin 1.89), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Kelty Hearts vs Elgin?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.