Football · Scotland League Two · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Spartans vs Annan Athletic

Team pages: Spartans · Annan Athletic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Spartans1.86

Annan Athletic1.08

1X2

55% 24% 21%

Spartans Draw Annan Athletic

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Spartans 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Annan Athletic 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Spartans 4–1–0 Annan Athletic (5 last)

Annan Athletic2-4Spartans
Annan Athletic0-2Spartans
Spartans4-0Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic1-1Spartans
Spartans1-0Annan Athletic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Spartans 1524 · Annan Athletic 1443

	Spartans	Draw	Annan Athletic
Our model	55%	25%	21%
Market	55%	23%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartans (rating 1524 vs 1443).
H2H favours Spartans: 4-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Spartans	Annan Athletic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	0.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.9	1.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.80

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
00:34 +6’	1.61	3.80	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartans 4–1–0 Annan Athletic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Scotland League Two	Annan Athletic	2-4 HT 1-0	Spartans
18/04/26 Scotland League Two	Annan Athletic	0-2 HT 0-1	Spartans
28/02/26 Scotland League Two	Spartans	4-0 HT 1-0	Annan Athletic
06/12/25 Scotland League Two	Annan Athletic	1-1 HT 1-1	Spartans
30/08/25 Scotland League Two	Spartans	1-0 HT 0-0	Annan Athletic

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stranraer	11	7	2	2	25	9	23
2	Clyde	11	7	2	2	27	18	23
3	Elgin	11	5	3	3	27	17	18
4	Spartans	11	4	3	4	22	20	15
5	Kelty Hearts	11	5	0	6	16	21	15
6	Dumbarton	11	4	1	6	12	18	13
7	Stirling	11	3	3	5	14	24	12
8	FC Edinburgh	11	4	4	3	20	18	11
9	Forfar	11	3	2	6	11	19	11
10	Annan Athletic	11	3	0	8	11	21	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Spartans	Annan Athletic
Stranraer	0-2 L	1-6 L
FC Edinburgh	3-1 W	0-1 L
Kelty Hearts	0-2 L	1-2 L
Dumbarton	0-3 L	2-0 W
Forfar	5-1 W	0-1 L
Stirling	2-0 W	0-1 L
Clyde	3-3 D	1-4 L
Elgin	3-3 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Spartans (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Spartans

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Stranraer Scotland League Two	0-1	0-2	1	7	L
10/10	FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two	1-1	3-1	11	2	W
03/10	Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
19/09	Dumbarton Scotland League Two	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
12/09	Forfar Scotland League Two	3-0	5-1	5	3	W
05/09	Stirling Scotland League Two	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
29/08	Clyde Scotland League Two	0-1	3-3	10	5	D
22/08	Elgin Scotland League Two	1-2	3-3	2	5	D
15/08	Stranraer Scotland League Two	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
08/08	FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two	0-1	2-2	2	8	D

Annan Athletic

WLLWLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Clyde Scotland League Two	0-1	1-4	3	4	L
10/10	Stranraer Scotland League Two	0-2	1-6	3	4	L
03/10	Stirling Scotland League Two	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
19/09	Forfar Scotland League Two	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
12/09	Elgin Scotland League Two	1-0	2-0	1	0	W
05/09	Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
29/08	Dumbarton Scotland League Two	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
22/08	FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
15/08	Clyde Scotland League Two	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
08/08	Stranraer Scotland League Two	0-0	1-0	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Spartans vs Annan Athletic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartans win (55%). Probabilities: Spartans 55%, draw 24%, Annan Athletic 21%.

How many goals are expected in Spartans vs Annan Athletic?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Spartans 1.86 · Annan Athletic 1.08), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Spartans vs Annan Athletic?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.