Football · Scotland League Two · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Stirling vs Forfar

Team pages: Stirling · Forfar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

Stirling1.68

Forfar1.22

1X2

47% 26% 27%

Stirling Draw Forfar

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Stirling 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLDWWD

Forfar 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DWLDLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Stirling 1–1–4 Forfar (6 last)

Forfar3-0Stirling
Stirling0-3Forfar
Forfar0-1Stirling
Stirling0-4Forfar
Forfar4-2Stirling
Forfar0-0Stirling

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stirling 1449 · Forfar 1452

	Stirling	Draw	Forfar
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	48%	25%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Forfar: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stirling	Forfar
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.4	1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.6	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/30/70%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.8	1.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.60

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:39 +2’	1.90	3.60	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stirling 1–1–4 Forfar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Scotland League Two	Forfar	3-0 HT 2-0	Stirling
14/03/26 Scotland League Two	Stirling	0-3 HT 0-3	Forfar
24/01/26 Scotland League Two	Forfar	0-1 HT 0-0	Stirling
15/11/25 Scotland League Two	Stirling	0-4 HT 0-2	Forfar
16/08/25 Scotland League Two	Forfar	4-2 HT 2-1	Stirling
03/05/25 Scotland League Two	Forfar	0-0 HT 0-0	Stirling

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stranraer	11	7	2	2	25	9	23
2	Clyde	11	7	2	2	27	18	23
3	Elgin	11	5	3	3	27	17	18
4	Spartans	11	4	3	4	22	20	15
5	Kelty Hearts	11	5	0	6	16	21	15
6	Dumbarton	11	4	1	6	12	18	13
7	Stirling	11	3	3	5	14	24	12
8	FC Edinburgh	11	4	4	3	20	18	11
9	Forfar	11	3	2	6	11	19	11
10	Annan Athletic	11	3	0	8	11	21	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stirling	Forfar
Dumbarton	1-1 D	1-2 L
Kelty Hearts	2-1 W	1-2 L
Annan Athletic	1-0 W	1-0 W
Clyde	1-1 D	0-3 L
FC Edinburgh	3-7 L	1-1 D
Spartans	0-2 L	1-5 L
Elgin	0-4 L	1-2 L
Stranraer	2-2 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Stirling (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stirling

LLDLLLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Dumbarton Scotland League Two	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
10/10	Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two	0-1	2-1	7	6	W
03/10	Annan Athletic Scotland League Two	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
19/09	Clyde Scotland League Two	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
12/09	FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two	0-5	3-7	5	0	L
05/09	Spartans Scotland League Two	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
29/08	Elgin Scotland League Two	0-2	0-4	9	2	L
22/08	Stranraer Scotland League Two	0-2	2-2	9	5	D
15/08	Forfar Scotland League Two	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
08/08	Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two	0-2	2-3	3	9	L

Forfar

DWLDLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
10/10	Elgin Scotland League Two	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
03/10	Dumbarton Scotland League Two	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
19/09	Annan Athletic Scotland League Two	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
12/09	Spartans Scotland League Two	0-3	1-5	2	3	L
05/09	Stranraer Scotland League Two	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
28/08	FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
22/08	Clyde Scotland League Two	0-2	0-3	4	2	L
15/08	Stirling Scotland League Two	2-0	3-0	8	3	W
08/08	Elgin Scotland League Two	1-1	1-1	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stirling vs Forfar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stirling win (47%). Probabilities: Stirling 47%, draw 26%, Forfar 27%.

How many goals are expected in Stirling vs Forfar?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Stirling 1.68 · Forfar 1.22), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stirling vs Forfar?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.