Football · Scotland Premiership · 22/08, 18:45

Prediction: Dundee Utd vs Dundee

Team pages: Dundee Utd · Dundee

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Dundee Utd1.5
Dundee1.07
1X2
47% 27% 26%
Dundee Utd Draw Dundee
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dundee Utd 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DDWLWWLDLL
Dundee 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LDWWLDWLWL
Head-to-head
Dundee Utd 2–1–3 Dundee (6 last)
  • Dundee Utd3-0Dundee
  • Dundee2-2Dundee Utd
  • Dundee Utd0-1Dundee
  • Dundee0-2Dundee Utd
  • Dundee Utd2-4Dundee
  • Dundee1-0Dundee Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dundee Utd 1486 · Dundee 1491
Dundee UtdDrawDundee
Our model46%28%26%
Market47%26%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Dundee: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 13.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Dundee UtdDundee
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.41.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 7.73.2 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 02.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dundee Utd 213 Dundee

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Scotland Premiership
Dundee Utd3-0
HT 1-0
Dundee
15/03/26
Scotland Premiership
Dundee2-2
HT 0-0
Dundee Utd
03/01/26
Scotland Premiership
Dundee Utd0-1
HT 0-1
Dundee
31/08/25
Scotland Premiership
Dundee0-2
HT 0-1
Dundee Utd
16/03/25
Scotland Premiership
Dundee Utd2-4
HT 1-3
Dundee
20/01/25
Scotland FA Cup
Dundee1-0
HT 1-0
Dundee Utd

Standings · Scotland Premiership

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Celtic 2200 616
2 St Mirren 2200 306
3 Motherwell 2110 214
4 Hearts 2101 523
5 Dundee 2101 213
6 St Johnstone 2101 443
7 Hibernian 2101 333
8 Aberdeen 2101 233
9 Rangers 2011 231
10 Falkirk 2011 021
11 Dundee Utd 2011 151
12 Kilmarnock 2002 490

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dundee Utd

DDWLWWLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Celtic
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-4 73 L
09/08 Hearts
Scotland Premiership
0-2 0-4 23 L
31/07 Rangers
Scotland Premiership
1-0 1-1 54 D
25/07 Salford City
UK Friendlies
0-2 2-3 73 L
21/07 Spartans
Scotland League Cup
1-0 4-0 173 W
18/07 Arbroath
Scotland League Cup
1-0 3-0 64 W
14/07 Montrose
Scotland League Cup
0-1 0-1 123 L
11/07 Stirling
Scotland League Cup
0-0 1-0 121 W
17/05 St Mirren
Scotland Premiership
1-0 1-1 22 D
12/05 Livingston
Scotland Premiership
0-0 0-0 76 D

Dundee

LDWWLDWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Aberdeen
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-3 102 L
08/08 Aberdeen
Scotland Premiership
1-0 2-0 54 W
03/08 Celtic
Scotland Premiership
0-0 0-1 42 L
25/07 Clyde
Scotland League Cup
0-0 4-0 70 W
21/07 Ross County
Scotland League Cup
1-0 1-1 36 D
18/07 Everton
Elite Club Friendlies
0-1 0-4 10 L
14/07 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Cup
0-0 5-0 50 W
11/07 Airdrieonians
Scotland League Cup
1-2 4-2 162 W
08/07 Brechin
Club Friendly List
1-1 1-1 D
04/07 Maccabi Haifa
Europe Friendlies
0-2 1-2 53 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dundee Utd vs Dundee?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dundee Utd win (47%). Probabilities: Dundee Utd 47%, draw 27%, Dundee 26%.

How many goals are expected in Dundee Utd vs Dundee?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Dundee Utd 1.5 · Dundee 1.07), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dundee Utd vs Dundee?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.