Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 31/07, 19:30
Prediction: Yverdon Sport FC vs Etoile Carouge
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Yverdon Sport FC2.08
Etoile Carouge1.39
1X2
Yverdon Sport FC
Draw
Etoile Carouge
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Yverdon Sport FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Etoile Carouge
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yverdon Sport FC
2–1–3
Etoile Carouge
(6 last)
- Yverdon Sport FC3-5Etoile Carouge
- Etoile Carouge2-2Yverdon Sport FC
- Yverdon Sport FC2-0Etoile Carouge
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yverdon Sport FC (rating 1529 vs 1481).
- H2H favours Etoile Carouge: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yverdon Sport FC | Etoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 11/44/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.9 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yverdon Sport FC 2–1–3 Etoile Carouge
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Yverdon Sport FC | 3-5 HT 2-2 | Etoile Carouge |
| 20/02/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Etoile Carouge | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Yverdon Sport FC |
| 30/11/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Yverdon Sport FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Etoile Carouge |
| 12/09/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Etoile Carouge | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Yverdon Sport FC |
| 05/06/21 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Etoile Carouge | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Yverdon Sport FC |
| 05/09/20 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Yverdon Sport FC | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Etoile Carouge |
Standings · Switzerland Challenge League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etoile Carouge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Wil 1900 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Neuchatel Xamax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Winterthur | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Yverdon Sport FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | FC Rapperswil-Jona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 8 | Kriens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Aarau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yverdon Sport FC | Etoile Carouge |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lausanne-Sport | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Sion | 1-3 L | 0-7 L |
| Aarau | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| FC Rapperswil-Jona | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Wil 1900 | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yverdon Sport FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | FC Lausanne-Sport Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | FC Sion Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/07 | Basel Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | Biel Bienne Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 15/05 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
2-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Etoile Carouge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Lausanne-Sport Club Friendly List |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | FC Sion Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-7 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 15/05 | AC Bellinzona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 11/05 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Challenge League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
2-2 | 5-3 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/04 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yverdon Sport FC vs Etoile Carouge?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yverdon Sport FC win (52%). Probabilities: Yverdon Sport FC 52%, draw 23%, Etoile Carouge 25%.
How many goals are expected in Yverdon Sport FC vs Etoile Carouge?
The model expects 3.47 goals (Yverdon Sport FC 2.08 · Etoile Carouge 1.39), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Yverdon Sport FC vs Etoile Carouge?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.