Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 07/08, 19:30
Prediction: Winterthur vs Wil 1900
Team pages: Winterthur · Wil 1900
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Winterthur2.04
Wil 19001.42
1X2
Winterthur
Draw
Wil 1900
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Winterthur
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Wil 1900
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Winterthur
3–3–0
Wil 1900
(6 last)
- Winterthur2-2Wil 1900
- Wil 19001-1Winterthur
- Wil 19001-1Winterthur
- Winterthur4-0Wil 1900
- Wil 19003-5Winterthur
- Winterthur3-1Wil 1900
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Winterthur 1450 · Wil 1900 1489
| Winterthur | Draw | Wil 1900 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Winterthur: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Winterthur | Wil 1900 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.7 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3 | 1.7 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Winterthur 3–3–0 Wil 1900
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/24 Europe Friendlies | Winterthur | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Wil 1900 |
| 14/09/24 Switzerland Cup | Wil 1900 | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Winterthur |
| 09/05/22 Switzerland Challenge League | Wil 1900 | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Winterthur |
| 12/02/22 Switzerland Challenge League | Winterthur | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Wil 1900 |
| 11/12/21 Switzerland Challenge League | Wil 1900 | 3-5 HT 2-2 | Winterthur |
| 30/07/21 Switzerland Challenge League | Winterthur | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Wil 1900 |
Standings · Switzerland Challenge League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neuchatel Xamax | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Etoile Carouge | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Kriens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Wil 1900 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Rapperswil-Jona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 7 | Yverdon Sport FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 8 | Winterthur | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 9 | Aarau | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Winterthur | Wil 1900 |
|---|---|---|
| Yverdon Sport FC | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Grasshoppers | 2-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Winterthur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Kriens Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/07 | Union Berlin Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 14/07 | SC Bruhl Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Basel Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Lucerne Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 01/07 | St Gallen Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Pfaffikon Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 12/05 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
Wil 1900
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
3-2 | 5-4 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Grasshoppers Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/06 | Austria Lustenau Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 15/05 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 11/05 | AC Bellinzona Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/04 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Winterthur vs Wil 1900?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Winterthur win (50%). Probabilities: Winterthur 50%, draw 24%, Wil 1900 25%.
How many goals are expected in Winterthur vs Wil 1900?
The model expects 3.47 goals (Winterthur 2.04 · Wil 1900 1.42), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Winterthur vs Wil 1900?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.