Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 01/08, 18:00
Prediction: Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.49Total
Aarau1.99
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1.51
1X2
Aarau
Draw
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Aarau
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aarau
4–1–1
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
(6 last)
- Aarau3-0Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy4-2Aarau
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1-2Aarau
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Aarau: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aarau | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.2 | 2 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aarau 4–1–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Aarau | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
| 13/02/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 4-2 HT 3-2 | Aarau |
| 17/10/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Aarau |
| 25/08/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Aarau | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
| 04/04/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Aarau | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
| 07/02/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2-4 HT 2-0 | Aarau |
Standings · Switzerland Challenge League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etoile Carouge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Wil 1900 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Neuchatel Xamax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Winterthur | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Yverdon Sport FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | FC Rapperswil-Jona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 8 | Kriens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Aarau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aarau | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
|---|---|---|
| Yverdon Sport FC | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| FC Vaduz | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Stade Nyonnais | 5-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Neuchatel Xamax | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Aarau (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aarau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Union Berlin Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Austria Lustenau Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 30/06 | St Gallen II Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 21/05 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 18/05 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 15/05 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 08/05 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
5-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | FC Zurich Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Lucerne Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | St Gallen Switzerland Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 15/05 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | AC Bellinzona Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Challenge League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 22/04 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aarau win (48%). Probabilities: Aarau 48%, draw 24%, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 28%.
How many goals are expected in Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
The model expects 3.49 goals (Aarau 1.99 · Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1.51), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.