Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 07/08, 20:15
Prediction: Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais
Team pages: Aarau · Stade Nyonnais
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.8Total
Aarau2.45
Stade Nyonnais1.35
1X2
Aarau
Draw
Stade Nyonnais
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Aarau
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Stade Nyonnais
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aarau
3–2–1
Stade Nyonnais
(6 last)
- Aarau5-1Stade Nyonnais
- Stade Nyonnais1-1Aarau
- Aarau0-1Stade Nyonnais
- Stade Nyonnais4-5Aarau
- Aarau1-1Stade Nyonnais
- Stade Nyonnais1-2Aarau
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aarau (rating 1502 vs 1392).
- H2H favours Aarau: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aarau | Stade Nyonnais | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1 / 3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.8 | 2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aarau 3–2–1 Stade Nyonnais
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Aarau | 5-1 HT 5-1 | Stade Nyonnais |
| 20/02/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Stade Nyonnais | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Aarau |
| 22/11/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Aarau | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Stade Nyonnais |
| 22/08/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Stade Nyonnais | 4-5 HT 1-2 | Aarau |
| 23/05/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Aarau | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Stade Nyonnais |
| 24/01/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Stade Nyonnais | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Aarau |
Standings · Switzerland Challenge League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neuchatel Xamax | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Etoile Carouge | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Kriens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Wil 1900 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Rapperswil-Jona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 7 | Yverdon Sport FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 8 | Winterthur | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 9 | Aarau | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aarau | Stade Nyonnais |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| FC Vaduz | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Aarau (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aarau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Union Berlin Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Austria Lustenau Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 30/06 | St Gallen II Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 21/05 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 18/05 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 15/05 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 08/05 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
5-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
Stade Nyonnais
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 24/07 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Bulle Europe Friendlies |
3-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 15/05 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
1-5 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | AC Bellinzona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 10/04 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aarau win (61%). Probabilities: Aarau 61%, draw 20%, Stade Nyonnais 19%.
How many goals are expected in Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?
The model expects 3.8 goals (Aarau 2.45 · Stade Nyonnais 1.35), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.