Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 07/08, 20:15
Prediction: Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax
Team pages: Etoile Carouge · Neuchatel Xamax
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.51Total
Etoile Carouge1.59
Neuchatel Xamax1.92
1X2
Etoile Carouge
Draw
Neuchatel Xamax
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Etoile Carouge
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Neuchatel Xamax
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Etoile Carouge
2–4
Neuchatel Xamax
(6 last)
- Neuchatel Xamax3-0Etoile Carouge
- Etoile Carouge1-3Neuchatel Xamax
- Etoile Carouge0-2Neuchatel Xamax
- Neuchatel Xamax2-1Etoile Carouge
- Neuchatel Xamax1-2Etoile Carouge
- Etoile Carouge2-1Neuchatel Xamax
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Neuchatel Xamax (rating 1458 vs 1563).
- H2H favours Neuchatel Xamax: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Etoile Carouge | Neuchatel Xamax | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.1 | 2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/44/44% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.1 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Etoile Carouge 2–0–4 Neuchatel Xamax
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Neuchatel Xamax | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Etoile Carouge |
| 13/02/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Etoile Carouge | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Neuchatel Xamax |
| 17/10/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Etoile Carouge | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Neuchatel Xamax |
| 22/08/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Neuchatel Xamax | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Etoile Carouge |
| 09/05/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Neuchatel Xamax | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Etoile Carouge |
| 07/02/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Etoile Carouge | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Neuchatel Xamax |
Standings · Switzerland Challenge League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neuchatel Xamax | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Etoile Carouge | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Kriens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Wil 1900 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Rapperswil-Jona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 7 | Yverdon Sport FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 8 | Winterthur | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 9 | Aarau | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Etoile Carouge | Neuchatel Xamax |
|---|---|---|
| Aarau | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| FC Lausanne-Sport | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| FC Sion | 0-7 L | 2-4 L |
| AC Bellinzona | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| FC Rapperswil-Jona | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Wil 1900 | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Neuchatel Xamax (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Etoile Carouge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/07 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Lausanne-Sport Club Friendly List |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | FC Sion Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-7 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 15/05 | AC Bellinzona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 11/05 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Challenge League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
2-2 | 5-3 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Neuchatel Xamax
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/07 | Kriens Switzerland Challenge League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 11/07 | FC Lausanne-Sport Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/07 | FC Sion Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Lugano Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | AC Bellinzona Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Neuchatel Xamax win (45%). Probabilities: Etoile Carouge 31%, draw 24%, Neuchatel Xamax 45%.
How many goals are expected in Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax?
The model expects 3.51 goals (Etoile Carouge 1.59 · Neuchatel Xamax 1.92), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.