Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 31/07, 20:15
Prediction: Kriens vs Winterthur
Team pages: Kriens · Winterthur
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.78Total
Kriens1.72
Winterthur2.06
1X2
Kriens
Draw
Winterthur
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kriens
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Winterthur
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kriens
1–1–4
Winterthur
(6 last)
- Kriens0-5Winterthur
- Winterthur3-0Kriens
- Winterthur6-1Kriens
- Kriens2-3Winterthur
- Kriens3-0Winterthur
- Winterthur0-0Kriens
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kriens 1534 · Winterthur 1467
| Kriens | Draw | Winterthur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 23% | 45% |
| Market | 31% | 26% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kriens (rating 1534 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Winterthur: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kriens | Winterthur | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.8 | 1.8 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.3 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kriens 1–1–4 Winterthur
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/22 Switzerland Challenge League | Kriens | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Winterthur |
| 30/01/22 Switzerland Challenge League | Winterthur | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Kriens |
| 23/10/21 Switzerland Challenge League | Winterthur | 6-1 HT 3-1 | Kriens |
| 28/08/21 Switzerland Challenge League | Kriens | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Winterthur |
| 14/05/21 Switzerland Challenge League | Kriens | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Winterthur |
| 23/02/21 Switzerland Challenge League | Winterthur | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kriens |
Standings · Switzerland Challenge League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etoile Carouge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Wil 1900 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Neuchatel Xamax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Winterthur | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Yverdon Sport FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | FC Rapperswil-Jona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 8 | Kriens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Aarau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kriens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | Biel Bienne Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | FC Zurich Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | FC Vaduz Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Basel II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 11 | D |
| 25/04 | FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Winterthur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/07 | Union Berlin Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 14/07 | SC Bruhl Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Basel Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Lucerne Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 01/07 | St Gallen Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Pfaffikon Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 12/05 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kriens vs Winterthur?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Winterthur win (44%). Probabilities: Kriens 31%, draw 24%, Winterthur 44%.
How many goals are expected in Kriens vs Winterthur?
The model expects 3.78 goals (Kriens 1.72 · Winterthur 2.06), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Kriens vs Winterthur?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.