Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 24/07, 19:30

Prediction: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2.36

Stade Nyonnais1.17

1X2

63% 20% 17%

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Draw Stade Nyonnais

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDWWWLLW

Stade Nyonnais 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLLLD

Head-to-head

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2–2–2 Stade Nyonnais (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (rating 1515 vs 1392).
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	Stade Nyonnais
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	1 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.7 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6.4	2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.4	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.84

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:24

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.50
X	4.61 → 4.61	Pinn 4.61
2	5.30 → 5.30	Pinn 5.30

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:24	1.50	4.61	5.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2–2–2 Stade Nyonnais

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/05/26 Switzerland Challenge League	Stade Nyonnais	1-3 HT 0-1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
14/03/26 Switzerland Challenge League	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	1-1 HT 0-1	Stade Nyonnais
01/11/25 Switzerland Challenge League	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	3-3 HT 1-2	Stade Nyonnais
12/09/25 Switzerland Challenge League	Stade Nyonnais	1-2 HT 1-1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
26/04/25 Switzerland Challenge League	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	0-1 HT 0-0	Stade Nyonnais
21/02/25 Switzerland Challenge League	Stade Nyonnais	3-0 HT 0-0	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Standings · Switzerland Challenge League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Etoile Carouge	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Aarau	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Rapperswil-Jona	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stade Nyonnais	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wil 1900	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Winterthur	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Neuchatel Xamax	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kriens	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Yverdon Sport FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	Stade Nyonnais
Neuchatel Xamax	2-1 W	1-4 L
AC Bellinzona	5-0 W	0-4 L
FC Vaduz	2-2 D	1-3 L
Yverdon Sport FC	0-3 L	1-4 L
Aarau	0-3 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

WLLDWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	FC Zurich Club Friendly List	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
27/06	Lucerne Europe Friendlies	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
24/05	St Gallen Switzerland Cup	0-1	0-3	1	6	L
15/05	Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League	1-0	2-1	10	3	W
11/05	Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League	1-0	3-1	7	5	W
08/05	AC Bellinzona Switzerland Challenge League	2-0	5-0	5	8	W
02/05	FC Vaduz Switzerland Challenge League	2-2	2-2	10	6	D
26/04	Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League	0-2	0-3	5	6	L
22/04	Aarau Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	0-3	5	2	L
18/04	Grasshoppers Switzerland Cup	0-0	2-0	8	4	W

Stade Nyonnais

DLLLLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	FC Bulle Europe Friendlies	3-2	4-4	10	1	D
15/05	FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League	1-1	1-2	0	3	L
11/05	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League	0-1	1-3	3	5	L
08/05	Aarau Switzerland Challenge League	1-5	1-5	4	1	L
01/05	Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
24/04	FC Vaduz Switzerland Challenge League	0-2	1-3	7	4	L
18/04	AC Bellinzona Switzerland Challenge League	0-2	0-4	8	4	L
10/04	Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League	1-2	1-4	7	3	L
06/04	Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League	1-2	1-4	6	3	L
03/04	Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	0-0	1	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win (63%). Probabilities: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 63%, draw 20%, Stade Nyonnais 17%.

How many goals are expected in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2.36 · Stade Nyonnais 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.