Football · Switzerland Super League · 22/08, 20:30
Prediction: FC Zurich vs Basel
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.6Total
FC Zurich1.79
Basel1.81
1X2
FC Zurich
Draw
Basel
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Zurich
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Basel
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Zurich
1–5
Basel
(6 last)
- Basel2-1FC Zurich
- FC Zurich3-4Basel
- Basel2-0FC Zurich
- FC Zurich0-4Basel
- FC Zurich0-1Basel
- Basel0-2FC Zurich
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Basel (rating 1468 vs 1525).
- H2H favours Basel: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Zurich | Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.3 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/22/22% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5 | 1.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Zurich 1–0–5 Basel
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Switzerland Super League | Basel | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FC Zurich |
| 25/01/26 Switzerland Super League | FC Zurich | 3-4 HT 2-2 | Basel |
| 29/10/25 Switzerland Super League | Basel | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Zurich |
| 12/04/25 Switzerland Super League | FC Zurich | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Basel |
| 02/02/25 Switzerland Super League | FC Zurich | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Basel |
| 21/09/24 Switzerland Super League | Basel | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Zurich |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | St Gallen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | FC Sion | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 5 | Basel | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | Servette | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 11 | Lucerne | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Vaduz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Zurich | Basel |
|---|---|---|
| Lugano | 0-5 L | 0-4 L |
| Servette | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Basel (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Zurich
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | FC Tuggen Switzerland Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Greuther Furth Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Kriens Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | FC Thalwil Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 6-4 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | FC Schaffhausen Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | YF Juventus Club Friendly List |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Basel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Barcelona Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | FC Courtetelle Switzerland Cup |
4-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 25/07 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Juventus Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Winterthur Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 08/07 | Yverdon Sport FC Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/06 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Zurich vs Basel?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Zurich win (38%). Probabilities: FC Zurich 38%, draw 24%, Basel 38%.
How many goals are expected in FC Zurich vs Basel?
The model expects 3.6 goals (FC Zurich 1.79 · Basel 1.81), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Zurich vs Basel?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.