Football · Switzerland Super League · 23/08, 14:00
Prediction: Young Boys vs FC Vaduz
Team pages: Young Boys · FC Vaduz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.73Total
Young Boys2.73
FC Vaduz1
1X2
Young Boys
Draw
FC Vaduz
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Young Boys
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
FC Vaduz
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Young Boys
3–3–0
FC Vaduz
(6 last)
- Young Boys3-2FC Vaduz
- Young Boys0-0FC Vaduz
- FC Vaduz0-2Young Boys
- Young Boys1-1FC Vaduz
- FC Vaduz0-0Young Boys
- Young Boys1-0FC Vaduz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Young Boys 1583 · FC Vaduz 1545
| Young Boys | Draw | FC Vaduz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| Market | 72% | 18% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Young Boys: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Young Boys | FC Vaduz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/33/11% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.8 | 1.8 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Young Boys 3–3–0 FC Vaduz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/24 Europe Friendlies | Young Boys | 3-2 HT 1-2 | FC Vaduz |
| 14/01/23 Europe Friendlies | Young Boys | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Vaduz |
| 11/05/21 Switzerland Super League | FC Vaduz | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Young Boys |
| 06/03/21 Switzerland Super League | Young Boys | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Vaduz |
| 24/01/21 Switzerland Super League | FC Vaduz | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Young Boys |
| 04/10/20 Switzerland Super League | Young Boys | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Vaduz |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | St Gallen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | FC Sion | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 5 | Basel | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | Servette | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 11 | Lucerne | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Vaduz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Young Boys | FC Vaduz |
|---|---|---|
| FC Sion | 4-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Austria Lustenau | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Young Boys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Liestal Switzerland Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 10/07 | Viktoria Plzen Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 5-3 | – | – | W |
| 05/07 | FC Kharkiv Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 01/07 | Austria Lustenau Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 26/06 | FC Thun Club Friendly List |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/06 | Breitenrain Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
FC Vaduz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | FC Inter UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 09/08 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 06/08 | FC Inter UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/07 | AC d'Escaldes UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | AC d'Escaldes UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 17/07 | Lugano Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | SCR Altach Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Austria Lustenau Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Young Boys vs FC Vaduz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Young Boys win (73%). Probabilities: Young Boys 73%, draw 17%, FC Vaduz 10%.
How many goals are expected in Young Boys vs FC Vaduz?
The model expects 3.73 goals (Young Boys 2.73 · FC Vaduz 1), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Young Boys vs FC Vaduz?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.