Football · Switzerland Super League · 01/08, 18:00
Prediction: Basel vs FC Lausanne-Sport
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Basel1.54
FC Lausanne-Sport1.47
1X2
Basel
Draw
FC Lausanne-Sport
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Basel
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
FC Lausanne-Sport
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Basel
2–3–1
FC Lausanne-Sport
(6 last)
- FC Lausanne-Sport1-2Basel
- Basel0-0FC Lausanne-Sport
- FC Lausanne-Sport5-1Basel
- FC Lausanne-Sport2-3Basel
- Basel2-2FC Lausanne-Sport
- Basel1-1FC Lausanne-Sport
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Lausanne-Sport (rating 1477 vs 1521).
- H2H favours Basel: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Basel | FC Lausanne-Sport | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 2.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 50/25/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.1 | 1.8 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Basel 2–3–1 FC Lausanne-Sport
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Switzerland Super League | FC Lausanne-Sport | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Basel |
| 14/12/25 Switzerland Super League | Basel | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Lausanne-Sport |
| 26/10/25 Switzerland Super League | FC Lausanne-Sport | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Basel |
| 14/05/25 Switzerland Super League | FC Lausanne-Sport | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Basel |
| 27/04/25 Switzerland Cup | Basel | 2-2 HT 0-1 | FC Lausanne-Sport |
| 16/02/25 Switzerland Super League | Basel | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FC Lausanne-Sport |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Basel | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Grasshoppers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Lugano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lucerne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Sion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | St Gallen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Thun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Vaduz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Zurich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Young Boys | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Servette | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Basel | FC Lausanne-Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Servette | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Yverdon Sport FC | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Basel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Juventus Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Winterthur Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 08/07 | Yverdon Sport FC Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/06 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 10/05 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
FC Lausanne-Sport
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Yverdon Sport FC Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Neuchatel Xamax Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Breitenrain Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/07 | Flamengo World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Etoile Carouge Club Friendly List |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | FC La Sarraz Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Renens Club Friendly List |
– | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 12/05 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Basel vs FC Lausanne-Sport?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Basel win (38%). Probabilities: Basel 38%, draw 26%, FC Lausanne-Sport 35%.
How many goals are expected in Basel vs FC Lausanne-Sport?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Basel 1.54 · FC Lausanne-Sport 1.47), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Basel vs FC Lausanne-Sport?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.