Football · Switzerland Super League · 09/08, 16:30
Prediction: St Gallen vs Lucerne
Team pages: St Gallen · Lucerne
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.53Total
St Gallen1.93
Lucerne1.59
1X2
St Gallen
Draw
Lucerne
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
St Gallen
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Lucerne
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
St Gallen
0–3–3
Lucerne
(6 last)
- Lucerne2-2St Gallen
- Lucerne2-2St Gallen
- St Gallen0-1Lucerne
- Lucerne1-1St Gallen
- Lucerne2-0St Gallen
- St Gallen2-3Lucerne
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Lucerne: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Gallen | Lucerne | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.1 | 2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/50/38% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.6 | 2.7 / 7.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.3 | 2.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Gallen 0–3–3 Lucerne
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Switzerland Super League | Lucerne | 2-2 HT 1-0 | St Gallen |
| 01/02/26 Switzerland Super League | Lucerne | 2-2 HT 0-1 | St Gallen |
| 24/08/25 Switzerland Super League | St Gallen | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Lucerne |
| 03/04/25 Switzerland Super League | Lucerne | 1-1 HT 1-1 | St Gallen |
| 02/02/25 Switzerland Super League | Lucerne | 2-0 HT 1-0 | St Gallen |
| 21/09/24 Switzerland Super League | St Gallen | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Lucerne |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Boys | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | St Gallen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Zurich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Basel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Thun | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 8 | Grasshoppers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | FC Vaduz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | FC Sion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 | Lucerne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Servette | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St Gallen | Lucerne |
|---|---|---|
| FC Zurich | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Winterthur | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Gallen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 30/07 | Benfica UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/07 | Benfica UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/07 | Norwich Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Lyon Europe Friendlies |
2-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Austria Lustenau Club Friendly List |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | FC Vaduz Club Friendly List |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Winterthur Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | SCR Altach Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
Lucerne
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Sint-Truidense Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Winterthur Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Winterthur Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Gallen vs Lucerne?
According to our model, the most likely result is a St Gallen win (45%). Probabilities: St Gallen 45%, draw 24%, Lucerne 31%.
How many goals are expected in St Gallen vs Lucerne?
The model expects 3.53 goals (St Gallen 1.93 · Lucerne 1.59), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in St Gallen vs Lucerne?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.