Football · Switzerland Super League · 09/08, 14:00
Prediction: Lugano vs FC Zurich
Team pages: Lugano · FC Zurich
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Lugano2.2
FC Zurich0.77
1X2
Lugano
Draw
FC Zurich
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Lugano
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
FC Zurich
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lugano
4–1–1
FC Zurich
(6 last)
- FC Zurich0-1Lugano
- FC Zurich0-1Lugano
- Lugano1-0FC Zurich
- Lugano0-3FC Zurich
- Lugano4-1FC Zurich
- FC Zurich1-1Lugano
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lugano (rating 1614 vs 1455).
- H2H favours Lugano: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lugano | FC Zurich | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.7 | 2.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 50/25/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.3 | 3.5 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lugano 4–1–1 FC Zurich
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Switzerland Super League | FC Zurich | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Lugano |
| 17/12/25 Switzerland Super League | FC Zurich | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Lugano |
| 18/10/25 Switzerland Super League | Lugano | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Zurich |
| 02/03/25 Switzerland Super League | Lugano | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FC Zurich |
| 24/11/24 Switzerland Super League | Lugano | 4-1 HT 3-1 | FC Zurich |
| 06/10/24 Switzerland Super League | FC Zurich | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Lugano |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Boys | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | St Gallen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Zurich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Basel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Thun | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 8 | Grasshoppers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | FC Vaduz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | FC Sion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 | Lucerne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Servette | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lugano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | KF Dukagjini UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
3-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/07 | KF Dukagjini UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/07 | FC Vaduz Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | Heidenheim Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 07/07 | Memmingen Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 27/06 | Neuchatel Xamax Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
FC Zurich
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Greuther Furth Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Kriens Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | FC Thalwil Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 6-4 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | FC Schaffhausen Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | YF Juventus Club Friendly List |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | FC Dietikon Club Friendly List |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lugano vs FC Zurich?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lugano win (69%). Probabilities: Lugano 69%, draw 20%, FC Zurich 11%.
How many goals are expected in Lugano vs FC Zurich?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Lugano 2.2 · FC Zurich 0.77), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Lugano vs FC Zurich?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.