Football · Switzerland Super League · 09/08, 16:30
Prediction: FC Sion vs FC Vaduz
Team pages: FC Sion · FC Vaduz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.51Total
FC Sion2.34
FC Vaduz1.17
1X2
FC Sion
Draw
FC Vaduz
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Sion
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
FC Vaduz
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Sion
2–2–2
FC Vaduz
(6 last)
- FC Sion2-2FC Vaduz
- FC Vaduz1-2FC Sion
- FC Sion3-3FC Vaduz
- FC Vaduz0-2FC Sion
- FC Vaduz3-0FC Sion
- FC Sion0-2FC Vaduz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Sion 1583 · FC Vaduz 1541
| FC Sion | Draw | FC Vaduz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 20% | 17% |
| Market | 62% | 21% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Sion (rating 1583 vs 1541).
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Sion | FC Vaduz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.4 | 1.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Sion 2–2–2 FC Vaduz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/24 Switzerland Challenge League | FC Sion | 2-2 HT 1-0 | FC Vaduz |
| 16/02/24 Switzerland Challenge League | FC Vaduz | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FC Sion |
| 10/11/23 Switzerland Challenge League | FC Sion | 3-3 HT 1-3 | FC Vaduz |
| 23/07/23 Switzerland Challenge League | FC Vaduz | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Sion |
| 11/04/21 Switzerland Super League | FC Vaduz | 3-0 HT 0-0 | FC Sion |
| 28/02/21 Switzerland Super League | FC Sion | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FC Vaduz |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Boys | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | St Gallen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | FC Sion | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Zurich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Basel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Thun | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 9 | Grasshoppers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 10 | FC Vaduz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 | Servette | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Lucerne | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Sion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/07 | BATE Borisov UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
2-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | BATE Borisov UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 17/07 | Annecy Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Yverdon Sport FC Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Neuchatel Xamax Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Etoile Carouge Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 7-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/05 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
FC Vaduz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/07 | AC d'Escaldes UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | AC d'Escaldes UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 17/07 | Lugano Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | SCR Altach Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Austria Lustenau Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | St Gallen Club Friendly List |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Kriens Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Sion vs FC Vaduz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Sion win (62%). Probabilities: FC Sion 62%, draw 21%, FC Vaduz 17%.
How many goals are expected in FC Sion vs FC Vaduz?
The model expects 3.51 goals (FC Sion 2.34 · FC Vaduz 1.17), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Sion vs FC Vaduz?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.