Football · Switzerland Super League · 02/08, 14:00
Prediction: FC Vaduz vs St Gallen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
FC Vaduz1.53
St Gallen1.55
1X2
FC Vaduz
Draw
St Gallen
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Vaduz
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
St Gallen
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Vaduz
1–5
St Gallen
(6 last)
- FC Vaduz0-1St Gallen
- FC Vaduz0-1St Gallen
- St Gallen1-0FC Vaduz
- FC Vaduz2-1St Gallen
- St Gallen2-0FC Vaduz
- FC Vaduz0-1St Gallen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Vaduz 1549 · St Gallen 1534
| FC Vaduz | Draw | St Gallen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| Market | 37% | 26% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours St Gallen: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Vaduz | St Gallen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 25/50/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 1.5 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 2.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vaduz 1–0–5 St Gallen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 Club Friendly List | FC Vaduz | 0-1 | St Gallen |
| 13/07/24 Europe Friendlies | FC Vaduz | 0-1 HT 0-0 | St Gallen |
| 24/04/21 Switzerland Super League | St Gallen | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Vaduz |
| 20/02/21 Switzerland Super League | FC Vaduz | 2-1 HT 1-0 | St Gallen |
| 20/01/21 Switzerland Super League | St Gallen | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Vaduz |
| 27/09/20 Switzerland Super League | FC Vaduz | 0-1 HT 0-0 | St Gallen |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Thun | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | St Gallen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Basel | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Grasshoppers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | FC Vaduz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Servette | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Sion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Lucerne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Vaduz | St Gallen |
|---|---|---|
| SCR Altach | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Austria Lustenau | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Vaduz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | AC d'Escaldes UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 17/07 | Lugano Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | SCR Altach Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Austria Lustenau Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | St Gallen Club Friendly List |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Kriens Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 08/05 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
St Gallen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/07 | Benfica UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/07 | Norwich Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Lyon Europe Friendlies |
2-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Austria Lustenau Club Friendly List |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | FC Vaduz Club Friendly List |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Winterthur Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | SCR Altach Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Vaduz vs St Gallen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Vaduz win (37%). Probabilities: FC Vaduz 37%, draw 26%, St Gallen 37%.
How many goals are expected in FC Vaduz vs St Gallen?
The model expects 3.08 goals (FC Vaduz 1.53 · St Gallen 1.55), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Vaduz vs St Gallen?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.