Football · Switzerland Super League · 02/08, 16:30
Prediction: FC Sion vs Lucerne
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.54Total
FC Sion2.17
Lucerne1.37
1X2
FC Sion
Draw
Lucerne
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Sion
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Lucerne
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Sion
1–3–2
Lucerne
(6 last)
- FC Sion0-0Lucerne
- FC Sion1-1Lucerne
- Lucerne3-3FC Sion
- Lucerne2-1FC Sion
- FC Sion4-2Lucerne
- Lucerne1-0FC Sion
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Sion (rating 1589 vs 1523).
- H2H favours Lucerne: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 15 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Sion | Lucerne | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 1.3 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.8 | 2.9 / 8.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Sion 1–3–2 Lucerne
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Switzerland Super League | FC Sion | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lucerne |
| 24/01/26 Switzerland Super League | FC Sion | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Lucerne |
| 04/10/25 Switzerland Super League | Lucerne | 3-3 HT 2-0 | FC Sion |
| 23/02/25 Switzerland Super League | Lucerne | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Sion |
| 10/11/24 Switzerland Super League | FC Sion | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Lucerne |
| 03/08/24 Switzerland Super League | Lucerne | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Sion |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Thun | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | St Gallen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Basel | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Grasshoppers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | FC Vaduz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Servette | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Sion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Lucerne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Sion | Lucerne |
|---|---|---|
| FC Thun | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| St Gallen | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Sion (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Sion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | BATE Borisov UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 17/07 | Annecy Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Yverdon Sport FC Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Neuchatel Xamax Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Etoile Carouge Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 7-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/05 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
Lucerne
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Sint-Truidense Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Winterthur Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Winterthur Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Sion vs Lucerne?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Sion win (55%). Probabilities: FC Sion 55%, draw 22%, Lucerne 23%.
How many goals are expected in FC Sion vs Lucerne?
The model expects 3.54 goals (FC Sion 2.17 · Lucerne 1.37), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Sion vs Lucerne?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.