Football · Switzerland Super League · 22/08, 18:00
Prediction: Lucerne vs FC Lausanne-Sport
Team pages: Lucerne · FC Lausanne-Sport
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Lucerne1.95
FC Lausanne-Sport1.39
1X2
Lucerne
Draw
FC Lausanne-Sport
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lucerne
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
FC Lausanne-Sport
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lucerne
4–2–0
FC Lausanne-Sport
(6 last)
- FC Lausanne-Sport1-3Lucerne
- Lucerne4-0FC Lausanne-Sport
- FC Lausanne-Sport0-4Lucerne
- Lucerne2-2FC Lausanne-Sport
- Lucerne1-1FC Lausanne-Sport
- FC Lausanne-Sport1-4Lucerne
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucerne 1555 · FC Lausanne-Sport 1491
| Lucerne | Draw | FC Lausanne-Sport | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 24% | 26% |
| Market | 49% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucerne (rating 1555 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Lucerne: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lucerne | FC Lausanne-Sport | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.7 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 44/33/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 8.3 | 1.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.4 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucerne 4–2–0 FC Lausanne-Sport
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Switzerland Super League | FC Lausanne-Sport | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Lucerne |
| 22/03/26 Switzerland Super League | Lucerne | 4-0 HT 2-0 | FC Lausanne-Sport |
| 21/12/25 Switzerland Super League | FC Lausanne-Sport | 0-4 HT 0-0 | Lucerne |
| 19/10/25 Switzerland Super League | Lucerne | 2-2 HT 0-0 | FC Lausanne-Sport |
| 11/05/25 Switzerland Super League | Lucerne | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Lausanne-Sport |
| 30/03/25 Switzerland Super League | FC Lausanne-Sport | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Lucerne |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | St Gallen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | FC Sion | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 5 | Basel | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | Servette | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 11 | Lucerne | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Vaduz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucerne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | SC Buochs Switzerland Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 02/08 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Sint-Truidense Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Winterthur Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Winterthur Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
FC Lausanne-Sport
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | FC Kosova Neuchatel Switzerland Cup |
2-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 29/07 | St Etienne Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Yverdon Sport FC Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Neuchatel Xamax Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Breitenrain Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/07 | Flamengo World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Etoile Carouge Club Friendly List |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucerne vs FC Lausanne-Sport?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lucerne win (50%). Probabilities: Lucerne 50%, draw 24%, FC Lausanne-Sport 26%.
How many goals are expected in Lucerne vs FC Lausanne-Sport?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Lucerne 1.95 · FC Lausanne-Sport 1.39), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lucerne vs FC Lausanne-Sport?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.