Football · Switzerland Super League · 12/09, 19:00
Prediction: Lugano vs Young Boys
Team pages: Lugano · Young Boys
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.7Total
Lugano2.15
Young Boys1.55
1X2
Lugano
Draw
Young Boys
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Lugano
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Young Boys
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lugano
2–2–2
Young Boys
(6 last)
- Lugano1-0Young Boys
- Young Boys1-1Lugano
- Lugano3-0Young Boys
- Young Boys3-1Lugano
- Lugano1-1Young Boys
- Young Boys1-0Lugano
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lugano | Young Boys | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.7 | 4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.1 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.6 | 2.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lugano 2–2–2 Young Boys
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Switzerland Super League | Lugano | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Young Boys |
| 22/03/26 Switzerland Super League | Young Boys | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Lugano |
| 21/12/25 Switzerland Super League | Lugano | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Young Boys |
| 31/08/25 Switzerland Super League | Young Boys | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Lugano |
| 24/05/25 Switzerland Super League | Lugano | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Young Boys |
| 23/02/25 Switzerland Super League | Young Boys | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lugano |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 14 | 15 |
| 3 | FC Sion | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 4 | St Gallen | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 5 | Basel | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
| 6 | Lucerne | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 9 |
| 7 | FC Thun | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 7 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Vaduz | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 6 |
| 10 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 5 |
| 12 | Servette | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lugano | Young Boys |
|---|---|---|
| FC Sion | 2-1 W | 4-2 W |
| FC Zurich | 5-0 W | 4-2 W |
| FC Vaduz | 2-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Basel | 4-0 W | 3-3 D |
| FC Thun | 1-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Young Boys (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lugano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 03/05 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
Young Boys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 01/09 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
3-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
2-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/05 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
3-2 | 8-3 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 10/05 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lugano vs Young Boys?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lugano win (51%). Probabilities: Lugano 51%, draw 22%, Young Boys 27%.
How many goals are expected in Lugano vs Young Boys?
The model expects 3.7 goals (Lugano 2.15 · Young Boys 1.55), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Lugano vs Young Boys?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.