Football · Switzerland Super League · 19/09, 18:00
Prediction: Lucerne vs Grasshoppers
Team pages: Lucerne · Grasshoppers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.73Total
Lucerne2.26
Grasshoppers1.46
1X2
Lucerne
Draw
Grasshoppers
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Lucerne
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Grasshoppers
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lucerne
5–1
Grasshoppers
(6 last)
- Grasshoppers1-2Lucerne
- Lucerne4-3Grasshoppers
- Lucerne6-0Grasshoppers
- Grasshoppers2-3Lucerne
- Grasshoppers3-1Lucerne
- Lucerne2-0Grasshoppers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucerne 1531 · Grasshoppers 1461
| Lucerne | Draw | Grasshoppers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 22% | 24% |
| Market | 54% | 23% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucerne (rating 1531 vs 1461).
- H2H favours Lucerne: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lucerne | Grasshoppers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 1.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.8 | 2.9 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.4 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucerne 5–0–1 Grasshoppers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Switzerland Super League | Grasshoppers | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Lucerne |
| 10/02/26 Switzerland Super League | Lucerne | 4-3 HT 2-2 | Grasshoppers |
| 02/11/25 Switzerland Super League | Lucerne | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Grasshoppers |
| 26/07/25 Switzerland Super League | Grasshoppers | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Lucerne |
| 06/04/25 Switzerland Super League | Grasshoppers | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Lucerne |
| 03/11/24 Switzerland Super League | Lucerne | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Grasshoppers |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 16 | 16 |
| 3 | FC Sion | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 15 |
| 4 | Basel | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 13 |
| 5 | St Gallen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 10 |
| 6 | FC Zurich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 10 |
| 7 | Lucerne | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 9 |
| 8 | Grasshoppers | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
| 9 | Servette | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Thun | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 7 |
| 11 | FC Vaduz | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 6 |
| 12 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lucerne | Grasshoppers |
|---|---|---|
| FC Vaduz | 2-1 W | 2-5 L |
| Servette | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| FC Lausanne-Sport | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| St Gallen | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| FC Thun | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Winterthur | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| FC Zurich | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lucerne (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucerne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 02/09 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 29/08 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 02/08 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Winterthur Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
Grasshoppers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 02/09 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
2-2 | 2-5 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 02/08 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 12/05 | Winterthur Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucerne vs Grasshoppers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lucerne win (54%). Probabilities: Lucerne 54%, draw 23%, Grasshoppers 23%.
How many goals are expected in Lucerne vs Grasshoppers?
The model expects 3.73 goals (Lucerne 2.26 · Grasshoppers 1.46), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lucerne vs Grasshoppers?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.