Football · Switzerland Super League · 16/09, 19:00
Prediction: Lugano vs St Gallen
Team pages: Lugano · St Gallen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Lugano2.11
St Gallen1.16
1X2
Lugano
Draw
St Gallen
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Lugano
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
St Gallen
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lugano
0–2–4
St Gallen
(6 last)
- Lugano1-2St Gallen
- St Gallen1-1Lugano
- Lugano1-3St Gallen
- St Gallen1-0Lugano
- Lugano1-1St Gallen
- St Gallen2-1Lugano
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lugano (rating 1611 vs 1524).
- H2H favours St Gallen: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lugano | St Gallen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.8 | 2.4 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lugano 0–2–4 St Gallen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Switzerland Super League | Lugano | 1-2 HT 0-0 | St Gallen |
| 17/03/26 Switzerland Super League | St Gallen | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Lugano |
| 26/11/25 Switzerland Super League | Lugano | 1-3 HT 1-1 | St Gallen |
| 13/09/25 Switzerland Super League | St Gallen | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Lugano |
| 13/04/25 Switzerland Super League | Lugano | 1-1 HT 0-0 | St Gallen |
| 05/02/25 Switzerland Super League | St Gallen | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Lugano |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 14 | 15 |
| 3 | FC Sion | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 4 | St Gallen | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 5 | Basel | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
| 6 | Lucerne | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 9 |
| 7 | FC Thun | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 7 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Vaduz | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 6 |
| 10 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 5 |
| 12 | Servette | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lugano | St Gallen |
|---|---|---|
| Basel | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Servette | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| FC Sion | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| FC Zurich | 5-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Grasshoppers | 4-1 W | 0-2 L |
| FC Vaduz | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lugano (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lugano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 03/09 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 03/05 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
St Gallen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/09 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 02/08 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 14/05 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 10/05 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lugano vs St Gallen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lugano win (58%). Probabilities: Lugano 58%, draw 22%, St Gallen 19%.
How many goals are expected in Lugano vs St Gallen?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Lugano 2.11 · St Gallen 1.16), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lugano vs St Gallen?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.