Football · Switzerland Super League · 19/09, 18:00

Prediction: Young Boys vs Servette

Team pages: Young Boys · Servette

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.97Total

Young Boys2.44

Servette1.53

1X2

57% 21% 22%

Young Boys Draw Servette

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Young Boys 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWDWDWDD

Servette 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLLWDLLW

Head-to-head

Young Boys 3–3–0 Servette (6 last)

Young Boys1-1Servette
Servette4-4Young Boys
Young Boys3-1Servette
Servette0-0Young Boys
Servette0-1Young Boys
Young Boys2-1Servette

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Young Boys 1605 · Servette 1492

	Young Boys	Draw	Servette
Our model	57%	20%	23%
Market	56%	21%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.97 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Young Boys (rating 1605 vs 1492).
H2H favours Young Boys: 3-3-0.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Young Boys	Servette
Goals for / against (FT)	3.9 / 2.2	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.9 / 1	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.9	2.6 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.65

X4.33

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:26 +8’	1.65	4.33	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Young Boys 3–3–0 Servette

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Switzerland Super League	Young Boys	1-1 HT 0-0	Servette
30/11/25 Switzerland Super League	Servette	4-4 HT 2-2	Young Boys
26/07/25 Switzerland Super League	Young Boys	3-1 HT 2-1	Servette
11/05/25 Switzerland Super League	Servette	0-0 HT 0-0	Young Boys
01/04/25 Switzerland Super League	Servette	0-1 HT 0-1	Young Boys
15/12/24 Switzerland Super League	Young Boys	2-1 HT 1-1	Servette

Standings · Switzerland Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lugano	7	6	1	0	19	6	19
2	Young Boys	8	4	4	0	28	16	16
3	FC Sion	7	5	0	2	17	11	15
4	Basel	8	4	1	3	16	14	13
5	St Gallen	7	3	1	3	12	14	10
6	FC Zurich	8	3	1	4	13	19	10
7	Lucerne	8	2	3	3	12	17	9
8	Grasshoppers	7	2	2	3	10	14	8
9	Servette	7	2	1	4	5	8	7
10	FC Thun	7	2	1	4	11	18	7
11	FC Vaduz	8	2	0	6	17	19	6
12	FC Lausanne-Sport	8	1	3	4	7	11	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Young Boys	Servette
Lugano	2-2 D	0-1 L
Lucerne	3-3 D	1-1 D
FC Zurich	4-2 W	1-2 L
Basel	3-3 D	0-1 L
FC Lausanne-Sport	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Young Boys (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Young Boys

WDWWDWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Lugano Switzerland Super League	2-1	2-2	4	5	D
05/09	Lucerne Switzerland Super League	1-0	3-3	8	8	D
01/09	FC Zurich Switzerland Super League	2-1	4-2	3	5	W
29/08	Basel Switzerland Super League	3-2	3-3	9	5	D
23/08	FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League	2-2	4-2	6	4	W
08/08	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	0-0	2-2	2	7	D
01/08	FC Thun Switzerland Super League	3-0	6-0	5	2	W
26/07	FC Sion Switzerland Super League	2-1	4-2	6	3	W
17/05	FC Sion Switzerland Super League	1-1	3-3	5	3	D
14/05	FC Thun Switzerland Super League	3-2	8-3	1	8	W

Servette

DWWLLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
06/09	St Gallen Switzerland Super League	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
03/09	Lugano Switzerland Super League	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
29/08	Lucerne Switzerland Super League	1-1	1-1	13	6	D
08/08	Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League	1-1	2-1	7	8	W
01/08	FC Zurich Switzerland Super League	0-1	1-2	7	5	L
25/07	Basel Switzerland Super League	0-0	0-1	11	0	L
16/05	FC Zurich Switzerland Super League	1-0	2-0	8	4	W
12/05	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	0-0	2-0	9	6	W
09/05	Lucerne Switzerland Super League	2-0	3-3	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Young Boys vs Servette?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Young Boys win (57%). Probabilities: Young Boys 57%, draw 21%, Servette 22%.

How many goals are expected in Young Boys vs Servette?

The model expects 3.97 goals (Young Boys 2.44 · Servette 1.53), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Young Boys vs Servette?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.