Football · Switzerland Super League · 02/09, 20:30
Prediction: FC Thun vs FC Lausanne-Sport
Team pages: FC Thun · FC Lausanne-Sport
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.7Total
FC Thun2.22
FC Lausanne-Sport1.48
1X2
FC Thun
Draw
FC Lausanne-Sport
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Thun
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
FC Lausanne-Sport
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Thun
3–1–2
FC Lausanne-Sport
(6 last)
- FC Thun5-1FC Lausanne-Sport
- FC Lausanne-Sport2-1FC Thun
- FC Thun2-1FC Lausanne-Sport
- FC Thun3-3FC Lausanne-Sport
- FC Lausanne-Sport1-3FC Thun
- FC Lausanne-Sport2-1FC Thun
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Thun (rating 1498 vs 1443).
- H2H favours FC Thun: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Thun | FC Lausanne-Sport | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 3 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.5 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 5.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Thun 3–1–2 FC Lausanne-Sport
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/26 Switzerland Super League | FC Thun | 5-1 HT 2-1 | FC Lausanne-Sport |
| 30/11/25 Switzerland Super League | FC Lausanne-Sport | 2-1 HT 2-0 | FC Thun |
| 03/08/25 Switzerland Super League | FC Thun | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Lausanne-Sport |
| 19/05/23 Switzerland Challenge League | FC Thun | 3-3 HT 1-2 | FC Lausanne-Sport |
| 19/03/23 Switzerland Challenge League | FC Lausanne-Sport | 1-3 HT 0-1 | FC Thun |
| 21/10/22 Switzerland Challenge League | FC Lausanne-Sport | 2-1 HT 2-0 | FC Thun |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 9 | 11 |
| 3 | Basel | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 4 | St Gallen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| 5 | FC Sion | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 6 | FC Thun | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Zurich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 9 | Lucerne | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| 10 | Servette | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Vaduz | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 3 |
| 12 | Grasshoppers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Thun | FC Lausanne-Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Basel | 2-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Young Boys | 0-6 L | 2-2 D |
| Lucerne | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Lausanne-Sport (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Thun
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 4-3 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 14/05 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
2-3 | 3-8 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
FC Lausanne-Sport
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 12/05 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Winterthur Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Thun vs FC Lausanne-Sport?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Thun win (53%). Probabilities: FC Thun 53%, draw 22%, FC Lausanne-Sport 25%.
How many goals are expected in FC Thun vs FC Lausanne-Sport?
The model expects 3.7 goals (FC Thun 2.22 · FC Lausanne-Sport 1.48), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Thun vs FC Lausanne-Sport?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.