Football · Poland Cup · 05/08, 16:00

Prediction: Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Hutnik Krakow

Team pages: Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala · Hutnik Krakow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala1.9

Hutnik Krakow0.91

1X2

60% 23% 17%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Draw Hutnik Krakow

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDWDDD

Hutnik Krakow 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 4–1–1 Hutnik Krakow (6 last)

Hutnik Krakow1-0Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala3-3Hutnik Krakow
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala2-0Hutnik Krakow
Hutnik Krakow1-3Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Hutnik Krakow0-2Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala5-2Hutnik Krakow

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1561 · Hutnik Krakow 1535

	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	Draw	Hutnik Krakow
Our model	60%	24%	17%
Market	60%	23%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala: 4-1-1.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	Hutnik Krakow
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.2	1.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6	3.3 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	5.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.00

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.54 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:36 +31’	1.50	4.00	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:08	1.54	3.90	4.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 4–1–1 Hutnik Krakow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Poland II Liga	Hutnik Krakow	1-0 HT 1-0	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
30/08/25 Poland II Liga	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	3-3 HT 2-2	Hutnik Krakow
07/06/25 Poland II Liga	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	2-0 HT 0-0	Hutnik Krakow
21/02/25 Europe Friendlies	Hutnik Krakow	1-3 HT 1-2	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
09/11/24 Poland II Liga	Hutnik Krakow	0-2 HT 0-0	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
20/01/24 Europe Friendlies	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	5-2 HT 3-2	Hutnik Krakow

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	Hutnik Krakow
Zaglebie Sosnowiec	2-2 D	2-0 W
Sandecja Nowy Sacz	3-1 W	0-0 D
Podhale Nowy Targ	2-1 W	1-0 W
Sokol Kleczew	3-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Stal Mielec Poland I Liga	0-3	3-3	6	5	D
27/07	Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga	1-0	1-1	8	4	D
18/07	Termalica BB Nieciecza Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
07/07	Banik Ostrava B Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
04/07	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
06/06	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	1-0	3-1	7	7	W
02/06	Slask Wroclaw II Poland League II Play-Offs	0-1	2-1	8	4	W
30/05	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
23/05	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	4	12	D
16/05	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	2-0	3-0	5	3	W

Hutnik Krakow

WWDLWWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	2-0	3-0	10	6	W
25/07	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
30/05	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
24/05	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	1-2	2-2	1	8	D
17/05	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
10/05	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	13	9	W
03/05	Warta Poznan Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
25/04	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
19/04	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	0-1	4-1	7	3	W
12/04	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Hutnik Krakow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala win (60%). Probabilities: Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 60%, draw 23%, Hutnik Krakow 17%.

How many goals are expected in Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Hutnik Krakow?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1.9 · Hutnik Krakow 0.91), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Hutnik Krakow?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.