Football · Japan J-League · 08/08, 12:00

Prediction: Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Kashiwa Reysol1.78

Mito Hollyhock0.87

1X2

58% 25% 17%

Kashiwa Reysol Draw Mito Hollyhock

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kashiwa Reysol 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Mito Hollyhock 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kashiwa Reysol 1–1–2 Mito Hollyhock (4 last)

Mito Hollyhock2-0Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol3-0Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol2-3Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock0-0Kashiwa Reysol

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kashiwa Reysol (rating 1488 vs 1406).
H2H favours Mito Hollyhock: 2-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kashiwa Reysol	Mito Hollyhock
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	0.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.6	2.4 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	1.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.03

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.58 → 1.58	Pinn 1.58
X	3.91 → 3.91	Pinn 3.91
2	5.82 → 5.82	Pinn 5.82

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
05:20	1.58	3.91	5.82

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kashiwa Reysol 1–1–2 Mito Hollyhock

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Japan J-League	Mito Hollyhock	2-0 HT 0-0	Kashiwa Reysol
22/03/26 Japan J-League	Kashiwa Reysol	3-0 HT 2-0	Mito Hollyhock
14/10/19 Japan J2-League	Kashiwa Reysol	2-3 HT 2-2	Mito Hollyhock
19/05/19 Japan J2-League	Mito Hollyhock	0-0 HT 0-0	Kashiwa Reysol

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Avispa Fukuoka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cerezo Osaka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fagiano Okayama	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Tokyo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gamba Osaka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JEF Utd Chiba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kashima Antlers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kashiwa Reysol	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kawasaki Frontale	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kyoto Sanga FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Machida Zelvia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mito Hollyhock	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nagoya Grampus	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Shimizu S-Pulse	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tokyo Verdy	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Urawa Red Diamonds	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	V-Varen Nagasaki	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vissel Kobe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Yokohama F-Marinos	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kashiwa Reysol	Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F-Marinos	1-0 W	1-1 D
Kawasaki Frontale	1-0 W	1-3 L
Urawa Red Diamonds	0-1 L	1-4 L
Tokyo Verdy	0-1 L	0-1 L
FC Tokyo	1-3 L	2-5 L
Kashima Antlers	0-1 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Kashiwa Reysol (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Kashiwa Reysol

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	JEF Utd Chiba World Club Friendlies	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
06/06	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League Play-Offs	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
30/05	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League Play-Offs	3-1	6-2	4	3	W
23/05	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	2-1	4-2	6	3	W
16/05	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
10/05	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
06/05	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
03/05	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	10	1	L
29/04	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	0-1	1-3	5	1	L
24/04	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	0-1	0-1	8	5	L

Mito Hollyhock

WLDDLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/06	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League Play-Offs	0-1	0-1	7	0	L
30/05	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League Play-Offs	0-1	0-1	7	0	L
24/05	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	0-0	1-3	4	0	L
16/05	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
09/05	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	0-1	1-4	0	3	L
06/05	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	0-0	0-3	2	2	L
02/05	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
29/04	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-1	2-2	6	1	D
24/04	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	1-3	2-5	1	2	L
19/04	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	0-0	2-0	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kashiwa Reysol win (58%). Probabilities: Kashiwa Reysol 58%, draw 25%, Mito Hollyhock 17%.

How many goals are expected in Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Kashiwa Reysol 1.78 · Mito Hollyhock 0.87), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.