Football · Japan J-League · 08/08, 12:00
Prediction: FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
FC Tokyo1.11
Machida Zelvia0.82
1X2
FC Tokyo
Draw
Machida Zelvia
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
FC Tokyo
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Machida Zelvia
3-7-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Tokyo
2–2–2
Machida Zelvia
(6 last)
- FC Tokyo0-0Machida Zelvia
- Machida Zelvia0-3FC Tokyo
- Machida Zelvia0-0FC Tokyo
- Machida Zelvia0-1FC Tokyo
- FC Tokyo0-1Machida Zelvia
- Machida Zelvia3-0FC Tokyo
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Tokyo | Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 6 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tokyo 2–2–2 Machida Zelvia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Japan J-League | FC Tokyo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Machida Zelvia |
| 01/04/26 Japan J-League | Machida Zelvia | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FC Tokyo |
| 16/11/25 Japan FA Cup | Machida Zelvia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Tokyo |
| 09/11/25 Japan J-League | Machida Zelvia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Tokyo |
| 22/02/25 Japan J-League | FC Tokyo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Machida Zelvia |
| 09/11/24 Japan J-League | Machida Zelvia | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FC Tokyo |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avispa Fukuoka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerezo Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fagiano Okayama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | JEF Utd Chiba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kawasaki Frontale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mito Hollyhock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nagoya Grampus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tokyo Verdy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Tokyo | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| Kashima Antlers | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Tokyo Verdy | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| JEF Utd Chiba | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Mito Hollyhock | 5-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 4 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Tokyo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Borussia Dortmund Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-3 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 10/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
3-1 | 5-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
Machida Zelvia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Al Ahli Jeddah AFC Champions League Elite |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Tokyo win (41%). Probabilities: FC Tokyo 41%, draw 34%, Machida Zelvia 26%.
How many goals are expected in FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia?
The model expects 1.93 goals (FC Tokyo 1.11 · Machida Zelvia 0.82), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.