Football · Japan J-League · 07/08, 12:30
Prediction: Gamba Osaka vs Urawa Red Diamonds
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Gamba Osaka1.58
Urawa Red Diamonds0.82
1X2
Gamba Osaka
Draw
Urawa Red Diamonds
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Gamba Osaka
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Urawa Red Diamonds
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gamba Osaka
3–3
Urawa Red Diamonds
(6 last)
- Gamba Osaka1-0Urawa Red Diamonds
- Urawa Red Diamonds0-1Gamba Osaka
- Gamba Osaka0-1Urawa Red Diamonds
- Urawa Red Diamonds0-1Gamba Osaka
- Gamba Osaka1-3Urawa Red Diamonds
- Urawa Red Diamonds3-0Gamba Osaka
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gamba Osaka (rating 1556 vs 1496).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gamba Osaka | Urawa Red Diamonds | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.4 | 2.5 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 1.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gamba Osaka 3–0–3 Urawa Red Diamonds
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 Japan J-League | Gamba Osaka | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Urawa Red Diamonds |
| 06/05/25 Japan J-League | Urawa Red Diamonds | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gamba Osaka |
| 14/09/24 Japan J-League | Gamba Osaka | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Urawa Red Diamonds |
| 20/04/24 Japan J-League | Urawa Red Diamonds | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gamba Osaka |
| 24/09/23 Japan J-League | Gamba Osaka | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Urawa Red Diamonds |
| 10/09/23 Japan J-League Cup | Urawa Red Diamonds | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Gamba Osaka |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avispa Fukuoka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerezo Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fagiano Okayama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | JEF Utd Chiba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kawasaki Frontale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mito Hollyhock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nagoya Grampus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tokyo Verdy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gamba Osaka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Zweigen Kanazawa World Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 15/07 | FC Salzburg World Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Sparta Prague World Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 06/06 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-1 | 4-2 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Al-Nassr Riyadh AFC Champions League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Urawa Red Diamonds
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 22/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 09/05 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gamba Osaka vs Urawa Red Diamonds?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gamba Osaka win (54%). Probabilities: Gamba Osaka 54%, draw 28%, Urawa Red Diamonds 18%.
How many goals are expected in Gamba Osaka vs Urawa Red Diamonds?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Gamba Osaka 1.58 · Urawa Red Diamonds 0.82), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Gamba Osaka vs Urawa Red Diamonds?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.