Football · Japan J-League · 08/08, 12:00
Prediction: Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Cerezo Osaka1.85
Fagiano Okayama0.96
1X2
Cerezo Osaka
Draw
Fagiano Okayama
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cerezo Osaka
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Fagiano Okayama
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cerezo Osaka
4–1–1
Fagiano Okayama
(6 last)
- Fagiano Okayama2-3Cerezo Osaka
- Cerezo Osaka1-2Fagiano Okayama
- Fagiano Okayama1-2Cerezo Osaka
- Cerezo Osaka2-1Fagiano Okayama
- Cerezo Osaka1-0Fagiano Okayama
- Fagiano Okayama1-1Cerezo Osaka
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cerezo Osaka (rating 1573 vs 1494).
- H2H favours Cerezo Osaka: 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cerezo Osaka | Fagiano Okayama | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.8 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 1.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerezo Osaka 4–1–1 Fagiano Okayama
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Japan J-League | Fagiano Okayama | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Cerezo Osaka |
| 18/03/26 Japan J-League | Cerezo Osaka | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Fagiano Okayama |
| 18/10/25 Japan J-League | Fagiano Okayama | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Cerezo Osaka |
| 02/04/25 Japan J-League | Cerezo Osaka | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Fagiano Okayama |
| 04/12/16 Japan J2-League | Cerezo Osaka | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fagiano Okayama |
| 16/10/16 Japan J2-League | Fagiano Okayama | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Cerezo Osaka |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avispa Fukuoka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerezo Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fagiano Okayama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | JEF Utd Chiba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kawasaki Frontale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mito Hollyhock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nagoya Grampus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tokyo Verdy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cerezo Osaka | Fagiano Okayama |
|---|---|---|
| Shimizu S-Pulse | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Vissel Kobe | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Fagiano Okayama (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cerezo Osaka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Borussia Dortmund Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League Play-Offs |
3-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 29/04 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Fagiano Okayama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Schalke World Club Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Werder Bremen World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 21/07 | FC Kharkiv Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/07 | Paderborn World Club Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Wehen SV World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 06/06 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cerezo Osaka win (57%). Probabilities: Cerezo Osaka 57%, draw 25%, Fagiano Okayama 18%.
How many goals are expected in Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Cerezo Osaka 1.85 · Fagiano Okayama 0.96), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.