Football · Japan J-League · 08/08, 12:15

Prediction: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF Utd Chiba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Sanfrecce Hiroshima2.21

JEF Utd Chiba0.78

1X2

69% 20% 11%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Draw JEF Utd Chiba

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDLDWWWWWW

JEF Utd Chiba 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (rating 1584 vs 1424).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	JEF Utd Chiba
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.9	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.5	1.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	1.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.02

Under 2.751.81

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.46 → 1.46	Pinn 1.46
X	4.44 → 4.44	Pinn 4.44
2	6.48 → 6.48	Pinn 6.48

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
05:20	1.46	4.44	6.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Avispa Fukuoka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cerezo Osaka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fagiano Okayama	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Tokyo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gamba Osaka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JEF Utd Chiba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kashima Antlers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kashiwa Reysol	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kawasaki Frontale	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kyoto Sanga FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Machida Zelvia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mito Hollyhock	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nagoya Grampus	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Shimizu S-Pulse	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tokyo Verdy	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Urawa Red Diamonds	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	V-Varen Nagasaki	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vissel Kobe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Yokohama F-Marinos	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	JEF Utd Chiba
Kawasaki Frontale	1-0 W	1-2 L
Avispa Fukuoka	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

WDLDWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/07	Slaven Belupo World Club Friendlies	2-1	3-1	3	0	W
06/06	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League Play-Offs	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
30/05	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League Play-Offs	2-1	2-1	6	1	W
23/05	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	2-1	4-2	2	1	W
17/05	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	1-0	4-0	10	3	W
10/05	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
06/05	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
02/05	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
29/04	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
25/04	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	0-1	2-1	11	2	W

JEF Utd Chiba

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Kashiwa Reysol World Club Friendlies	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
06/06	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League Play-Offs	1-0	1-2	7	0	L
30/05	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League Play-Offs	1-0	2-2	4	3	D
23/05	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	1-2	2-4	3	3	L
17/05	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	0-1	0-2	9	3	L
10/05	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-2	0-2	6	1	L
06/05	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	1-0	3-0	2	2	W
02/05	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
29/04	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	1-0	2-3	4	0	L
25/04	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	0-1	1-2	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF Utd Chiba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win (69%). Probabilities: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 69%, draw 20%, JEF Utd Chiba 11%.

How many goals are expected in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF Utd Chiba?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.21 · JEF Utd Chiba 0.78), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF Utd Chiba?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.