Football · Japan J-League · 08/08, 12:00

Prediction: Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

Avispa Fukuoka1.33

Vissel Kobe1.04

1X2

42% 30% 28%

Avispa Fukuoka Draw Vissel Kobe

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Avispa Fukuoka 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DWLDDDDLDW

Vissel Kobe 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDLDLWDWWL

Head-to-head

Avispa Fukuoka 1–1–4 Vissel Kobe (6 last)

Avispa Fukuoka0-1Vissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe2-1Avispa Fukuoka
Avispa Fukuoka0-0Vissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe0-1Avispa Fukuoka
Avispa Fukuoka0-2Vissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe1-0Avispa Fukuoka

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vissel Kobe: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Avispa Fukuoka	Vissel Kobe
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.8	1.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.93

Under 21.89

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.93 → 3.93	Pinn 3.93
X	3.27 → 3.27	Pinn 3.27
2	2.01 → 2.01	Pinn 2.01

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
05:19 +1’	3.93	3.27	2.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Avispa Fukuoka 1–1–4 Vissel Kobe

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Japan J-League	Avispa Fukuoka	0-1 HT 0-1	Vissel Kobe
27/02/26 Japan J-League	Vissel Kobe	2-1 HT 0-0	Avispa Fukuoka
28/06/25 Japan J-League	Avispa Fukuoka	0-0 HT 0-0	Vissel Kobe
01/03/25 Japan J-League	Vissel Kobe	0-1 HT 0-1	Avispa Fukuoka
01/09/24 Japan J-League	Avispa Fukuoka	0-2 HT 0-1	Vissel Kobe
15/05/24 Japan J-League	Vissel Kobe	1-0 HT 0-0	Avispa Fukuoka

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Avispa Fukuoka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cerezo Osaka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fagiano Okayama	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Tokyo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gamba Osaka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JEF Utd Chiba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kashima Antlers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kashiwa Reysol	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kawasaki Frontale	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kyoto Sanga FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Machida Zelvia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mito Hollyhock	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nagoya Grampus	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Shimizu S-Pulse	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tokyo Verdy	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Urawa Red Diamonds	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	V-Varen Nagasaki	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vissel Kobe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Yokohama F-Marinos	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Avispa Fukuoka	Vissel Kobe
Kyoto Sanga FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Cerezo Osaka	1-1 D	0-0 D
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2-2 D	1-1 D
Fagiano Okayama	0-2 L	0-3 L
Gamba Osaka	2-1 W	0-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Avispa Fukuoka (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Avispa Fukuoka

DWLDDDDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/06	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League Play-Offs	0-1	2-1	7	0	W
30/05	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League Play-Offs	0-1	2-2	2	3	D
23/05	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
10/05	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
06/05	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
03/05	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
29/04	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	1-2	2-2	3	5	D
25/04	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
22/04	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	2-1	2-1	5	5	W
19/04	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	2-0	2-2	5	5	D

Vissel Kobe

LDLDLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/06	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League Play-Offs	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
30/05	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League Play-Offs	1-0	5-0	3	2	W
23/05	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
17/05	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	2-2	2-2	3	3	D
13/05	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
10/05	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	0-2	0-3	8	1	L
06/05	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
02/05	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	0-2	0-5	6	1	L
29/04	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
20/04	Al Ahli Jeddah AFC Champions League Elite	1-0	1-2	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Avispa Fukuoka win (42%). Probabilities: Avispa Fukuoka 42%, draw 30%, Vissel Kobe 28%.

How many goals are expected in Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Avispa Fukuoka 1.33 · Vissel Kobe 1.04), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.