Football · Japan J-League · 09/08, 12:00

Prediction: V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

V-Varen Nagasaki1.52

Kyoto Sanga FC0.99

1X2

48% 28% 23%

V-Varen Nagasaki Draw Kyoto Sanga FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

V-Varen Nagasaki 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWLDLWWL

Kyoto Sanga FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLDLLLWLW

Head-to-head

V-Varen Nagasaki 3–3 Kyoto Sanga FC (6 last)

Kyoto Sanga FC1-0V-Varen Nagasaki
V-Varen Nagasaki1-2Kyoto Sanga FC
V-Varen Nagasaki2-0Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC0-2V-Varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga FC2-1V-Varen Nagasaki
V-Varen Nagasaki1-0Kyoto Sanga FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	V-Varen Nagasaki	Kyoto Sanga FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	0.7 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.9	3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.97

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:37

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 2.90
X	3.23 → 3.23	Pinn 3.23
2	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
05:37	2.90	3.23	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · V-Varen Nagasaki 3–0–3 Kyoto Sanga FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Japan J-League	Kyoto Sanga FC	1-0 HT 0-0	V-Varen Nagasaki
18/03/26 Japan J-League	V-Varen Nagasaki	1-2 HT 1-1	Kyoto Sanga FC
02/10/21 Japan J2-League	V-Varen Nagasaki	2-0 HT 1-0	Kyoto Sanga FC
03/07/21 Japan J2-League	Kyoto Sanga FC	0-2 HT 0-1	V-Varen Nagasaki
02/12/20 Japan J2-League	Kyoto Sanga FC	2-1 HT 2-0	V-Varen Nagasaki
25/07/20 Japan J2-League	V-Varen Nagasaki	1-0 HT 1-0	Kyoto Sanga FC

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Avispa Fukuoka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cerezo Osaka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fagiano Okayama	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Tokyo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gamba Osaka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JEF Utd Chiba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kashima Antlers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kashiwa Reysol	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kawasaki Frontale	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kyoto Sanga FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Machida Zelvia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mito Hollyhock	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nagoya Grampus	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Shimizu S-Pulse	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tokyo Verdy	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Urawa Red Diamonds	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	V-Varen Nagasaki	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vissel Kobe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Yokohama F-Marinos	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	V-Varen Nagasaki	Kyoto Sanga FC
Vissel Kobe	2-2 D	0-1 L
Cerezo Osaka	2-3 L	0-3 L
Nagoya Grampus	1-2 L	0-3 L
Shimizu S-Pulse	2-1 W	1-2 L
Gamba Osaka	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: V-Varen Nagasaki (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

V-Varen Nagasaki

DWLWLDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/07	NEC World Club Friendlies	0-1	1-3	2	0	L
06/06	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League Play-Offs	1-0	1-0	0	0	W
30/05	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League Play-Offs	1-0	1-0	0	0	W
23/05	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
17/05	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	2-2	2-2	5	3	D
09/05	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	1-1	2-3	3	3	L
06/05	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	2-0	2-1	5	3	W
03/05	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	1-1	1-2	9	1	L
29/04	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
25/04	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	7	1	D

Kyoto Sanga FC

LDLDLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/06	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League Play-Offs	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
30/05	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League Play-Offs	1-3	2-6	2	3	L
23/05	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
17/05	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	0-1	0-4	1	3	L
13/05	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
10/05	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
06/05	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
02/05	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	1-0	1-2	8	7	L
29/04	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	7	1	D
18/04	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	0-1	0-3	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a V-Varen Nagasaki win (48%). Probabilities: V-Varen Nagasaki 48%, draw 28%, Kyoto Sanga FC 23%.

How many goals are expected in V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga FC?

The model expects 2.5 goals (V-Varen Nagasaki 1.52 · Kyoto Sanga FC 0.99), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.