Prediction: FC Tokyo vs JEF Utd Chiba
Team pages: FC Tokyo · JEF Utd Chiba
- FC Tokyo0-3JEF Utd Chiba
- JEF Utd Chiba1-2FC Tokyo
- JEF Utd Chiba1-1FC Tokyo
| FC Tokyo | Draw | JEF Utd Chiba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 24% | 15% |
| Market | 61% | 23% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tokyo (rating 1463 vs 1406).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Tokyo | JEF Utd Chiba | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.5 | 1.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tokyo 1–1–1 JEF Utd Chiba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Japan J-League | FC Tokyo | 0-3 HT 0-1 | JEF Utd Chiba |
| 18/03/26 Japan J-League | JEF Utd Chiba | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FC Tokyo |
| 10/07/24 Japan FA Cup | JEF Utd Chiba | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Tokyo |
Standings · Japan J-League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Avispa Fukuoka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Kawasaki Frontale | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | Mito Hollyhock | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Tokyo Verdy | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Tokyo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 18 | Nagoya Grampus | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Tokyo | JEF Utd Chiba |
|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia | 1-5 L | 0-4 L |
| Kashima Antlers | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Tokyo (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Tokyo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Borussia Dortmund Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-3 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 10/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
JEF Utd Chiba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Kashiwa Reysol World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Tokyo vs JEF Utd Chiba?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Tokyo win (61%). Probabilities: FC Tokyo 61%, draw 23%, JEF Utd Chiba 16%.
How many goals are expected in FC Tokyo vs JEF Utd Chiba?
The model expects 2.77 goals (FC Tokyo 1.9 · JEF Utd Chiba 0.87), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Tokyo vs JEF Utd Chiba?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.