Prediction: Kashiwa Reysol vs V-Varen Nagasaki
Team pages: Kashiwa Reysol · V-Varen Nagasaki
- V-Varen Nagasaki1-2Kashiwa Reysol
- Kashiwa Reysol3-0V-Varen Nagasaki
- Kashiwa Reysol5-1V-Varen Nagasaki
- V-Varen Nagasaki1-0Kashiwa Reysol
| Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | V-Varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kashiwa Reysol (rating 1534 vs 1480).
- H2H favours Kashiwa Reysol: 3-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kashiwa Reysol | V-Varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.9 | 1.5 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kashiwa Reysol 3–0–1 V-Varen Nagasaki
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/19 Japan J2-League | V-Varen Nagasaki | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 03/04/19 Japan J2-League | Kashiwa Reysol | 3-0 HT 3-0 | V-Varen Nagasaki |
| 25/08/18 Japan J-League | Kashiwa Reysol | 5-1 HT 2-1 | V-Varen Nagasaki |
| 22/04/18 Japan J-League | V-Varen Nagasaki | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kashiwa Reysol |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Avispa Fukuoka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Kawasaki Frontale | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | Mito Hollyhock | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Tokyo Verdy | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Tokyo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 18 | Nagoya Grampus | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kashiwa Reysol | V-Varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Kyoto Sanga FC | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: V-Varen Nagasaki (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kashiwa Reysol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | JEF Utd Chiba World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League Play-Offs |
3-1 | 6-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
V-Varen Nagasaki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | NEC World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 06/06 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kashiwa Reysol vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kashiwa Reysol win (56%). Probabilities: Kashiwa Reysol 56%, draw 26%, V-Varen Nagasaki 18%.
How many goals are expected in Kashiwa Reysol vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Kashiwa Reysol 1.7 · V-Varen Nagasaki 0.88), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kashiwa Reysol vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.