Football · Japan J-League · 22/08, 11:00
Prediction: Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka
Team pages: Kashima Antlers · Avispa Fukuoka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Kashima Antlers1.56
Avispa Fukuoka0.85
1X2
Kashima Antlers
Draw
Avispa Fukuoka
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kashima Antlers
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Avispa Fukuoka
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kashima Antlers
1–4–1
Avispa Fukuoka
(6 last)
- Kashima Antlers1-1Avispa Fukuoka
- Kashima Antlers2-2Avispa Fukuoka
- Avispa Fukuoka0-1Kashima Antlers
- Kashima Antlers0-0Avispa Fukuoka
- Avispa Fukuoka1-0Kashima Antlers
- Avispa Fukuoka0-0Kashima Antlers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kashima Antlers 1552 · Avispa Fukuoka 1491
| Kashima Antlers | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 28% | 19% |
| Market | 53% | 28% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kashima Antlers (rating 1552 vs 1491).
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kashima Antlers | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 2.2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.3 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kashima Antlers 1–4–1 Avispa Fukuoka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/25 Japan J-League | Kashima Antlers | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Avispa Fukuoka |
| 06/08/25 Japan FA Cup | Kashima Antlers | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Avispa Fukuoka |
| 06/05/25 Japan J-League | Avispa Fukuoka | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Kashima Antlers |
| 19/10/24 Japan J-League | Kashima Antlers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Avispa Fukuoka |
| 03/04/24 Japan J-League | Avispa Fukuoka | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kashima Antlers |
| 30/09/23 Japan J-League | Avispa Fukuoka | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kashima Antlers |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Avispa Fukuoka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Kawasaki Frontale | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | Mito Hollyhock | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Tokyo Verdy | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Tokyo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 18 | Nagoya Grampus | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kashima Antlers | Avispa Fukuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Vissel Kobe | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| JEF Utd Chiba | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Kashima Antlers (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kashima Antlers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
1-2 | 4-3 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 06/05 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Avispa Fukuoka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/04 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kashima Antlers win (53%). Probabilities: Kashima Antlers 53%, draw 28%, Avispa Fukuoka 19%.
How many goals are expected in Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Kashima Antlers 1.56 · Avispa Fukuoka 0.85), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.