Prediction: JEF Utd Chiba vs Gamba Osaka
Team pages: JEF Utd Chiba · Gamba Osaka
- JEF Utd Chiba0-2Gamba Osaka
| JEF Utd Chiba | Draw | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| Market | 28% | 28% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gamba Osaka (rating 1424 vs 1557).
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JEF Utd Chiba | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.5 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JEF Utd Chiba 0–0–1 Gamba Osaka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/17 Japan Cup | JEF Utd Chiba | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Gamba Osaka |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kashima Antlers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 12 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Mito Hollyhock | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | FC Tokyo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 9 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Kawasaki Frontale | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | Gamba Osaka | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 14 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 6 |
| 15 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JEF Utd Chiba | Gamba Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | 0-2 L | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Gamba Osaka (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JEF Utd Chiba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/08 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
Gamba Osaka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 07/08 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JEF Utd Chiba vs Gamba Osaka?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gamba Osaka win (44%). Probabilities: JEF Utd Chiba 29%, draw 27%, Gamba Osaka 44%.
How many goals are expected in JEF Utd Chiba vs Gamba Osaka?
The model expects 2.92 goals (JEF Utd Chiba 1.28 · Gamba Osaka 1.63), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in JEF Utd Chiba vs Gamba Osaka?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.