Football · Japan J-League · 05/09, 12:00
Prediction: Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock
Team pages: Avispa Fukuoka · Mito Hollyhock
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Avispa Fukuoka1.51
Mito Hollyhock0.85
1X2
Avispa Fukuoka
Draw
Mito Hollyhock
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Avispa Fukuoka
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Mito Hollyhock
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Avispa Fukuoka
3–1–2
Mito Hollyhock
(6 last)
- Mito Hollyhock0-1Avispa Fukuoka
- Avispa Fukuoka0-1Mito Hollyhock
- Avispa Fukuoka1-1Mito Hollyhock
- Mito Hollyhock4-2Avispa Fukuoka
- Avispa Fukuoka2-0Mito Hollyhock
- Mito Hollyhock0-2Avispa Fukuoka
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avispa Fukuoka (rating 1470 vs 1425).
- H2H favours Avispa Fukuoka: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Avispa Fukuoka | Mito Hollyhock | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 1.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Avispa Fukuoka 3–1–2 Mito Hollyhock
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/20 Japan J2-League | Mito Hollyhock | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Avispa Fukuoka |
| 19/08/20 Japan J2-League | Avispa Fukuoka | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Mito Hollyhock |
| 27/07/19 Japan J2-League | Avispa Fukuoka | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Mito Hollyhock |
| 09/06/19 Japan J2-League | Mito Hollyhock | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Avispa Fukuoka |
| 11/08/18 Japan J2-League | Avispa Fukuoka | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Mito Hollyhock |
| 27/05/18 Japan J2-League | Mito Hollyhock | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Avispa Fukuoka |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Mito Hollyhock | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Fagiano Okayama | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 3 |
| 18 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Avispa Fukuoka | Mito Hollyhock |
|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Sanga FC | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Kashima Antlers | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Avispa Fukuoka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/04 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
Mito Hollyhock
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 29/04 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Avispa Fukuoka win (52%). Probabilities: Avispa Fukuoka 52%, draw 28%, Mito Hollyhock 20%.
How many goals are expected in Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Avispa Fukuoka 1.51 · Mito Hollyhock 0.85), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.