Football · Japan J-League · 31/10, 07:00

Prediction: Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka

Team pages: Kashima Antlers · Cerezo Osaka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Kashima Antlers1.87

Cerezo Osaka1.35

1X2

49% 25% 27%

Kashima Antlers Draw Cerezo Osaka

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Kashima Antlers 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDWWDL

Cerezo Osaka 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDLDDLDD

Head-to-head

Kashima Antlers 4–1–1 Cerezo Osaka (6 last)

Kashima Antlers3-1Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka1-0Kashima Antlers
Cerezo Osaka0-2Kashima Antlers
Kashima Antlers1-1Cerezo Osaka
Kashima Antlers1-0Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka0-1Kashima Antlers

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kashima Antlers: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kashima Antlers	Cerezo Osaka
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.7	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.7	2.1 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.84

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:17

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.72▲	Pinn 1.72
X	4.02 → 4.07▲	Pinn 4.07
2	4.33 → 4.40▲	Pinn 4.40

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
07:18 +7’	1.70	4.02	4.33
08:12 +5’	1.72▲	4.07▲	4.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kashima Antlers 4–1–1 Cerezo Osaka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/09/25 Japan J-League	Kashima Antlers	3-1 HT 1-1	Cerezo Osaka
12/04/25 Japan J-League	Cerezo Osaka	1-0 HT 0-0	Kashima Antlers
30/11/24 Japan J-League	Cerezo Osaka	0-2 HT 0-2	Kashima Antlers
02/03/24 Japan J-League	Kashima Antlers	1-1 HT 0-0	Cerezo Osaka
16/09/23 Japan J-League	Kashima Antlers	1-0 HT 1-0	Cerezo Osaka
07/05/23 Japan J-League	Cerezo Osaka	0-1 HT 0-0	Kashima Antlers

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	12	8	3	1	30	10	27
2	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	12	8	2	2	29	10	26
3	Kashiwa Reysol	12	8	1	3	25	19	25
4	FC Tokyo	11	7	3	1	21	8	24
5	Vissel Kobe	12	7	2	3	18	11	23
6	Kashima Antlers	12	6	2	4	25	21	20
7	Kawasaki Frontale	11	5	4	2	23	17	19
8	Yokohama F-Marinos	12	4	6	2	16	12	18
9	Urawa Red Diamonds	11	6	0	5	20	23	18
10	Fagiano Okayama	11	5	1	5	14	15	16
11	Nagoya Grampus	12	4	2	6	14	18	14
12	Shimizu S-Pulse	12	4	2	6	10	20	14
13	Cerezo Osaka	11	3	4	4	10	17	13
14	V-Varen Nagasaki	11	3	3	5	15	18	12
15	Gamba Osaka	12	2	5	5	14	21	11
16	Kyoto Sanga FC	12	2	4	6	15	23	10
17	Mito Hollyhock	11	2	3	6	12	16	9
18	Tokyo Verdy	12	1	5	6	9	21	8
19	Avispa Fukuoka	12	2	1	9	13	21	7
20	JEF Utd Chiba	11	1	3	7	10	22	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kashima Antlers	Cerezo Osaka
Kashiwa Reysol	2-3 L	2-0 W
V-Varen Nagasaki	2-0 W	1-1 D
Kawasaki Frontale	3-3 D	2-4 L
Vissel Kobe	1-2 L	0-1 L
Tokyo Verdy	2-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kashima Antlers (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kashima Antlers

WWLLLDWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	1-2	2-3	9	1	L
21/10	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
17/10	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
09/10	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
19/09	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	1-1	3-3	2	4	D
11/09	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
06/09	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
02/09	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	0-2	2-4	4	2	L
29/08	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
22/08	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	1-1	3-2	2	2	W

Cerezo Osaka

WLWDLDDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	0-1	2-2	5	5	D
21/10	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	0-1	1-1	1	5	D
17/10	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	1-2	2-4	3	5	L
10/10	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
19/09	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
12/09	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	0-3	1-6	4	1	L
06/09	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	0-0	0-0	10	1	D
02/09	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	7	1	W
29/08	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	9	3	L
22/08	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kashima Antlers win (49%). Probabilities: Kashima Antlers 49%, draw 25%, Cerezo Osaka 27%.

How many goals are expected in Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Kashima Antlers 1.87 · Cerezo Osaka 1.35), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.