Football · Japan J-League · 07/11, 07:00
Prediction: FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers
Team pages: FC Tokyo · Kashima Antlers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
FC Tokyo1.72
Kashima Antlers1.02
1X2
FC Tokyo
Draw
Kashima Antlers
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Tokyo
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Kashima Antlers
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Tokyo
1–1–4
Kashima Antlers
(6 last)
- Kashima Antlers1-0FC Tokyo
- FC Tokyo1-1Kashima Antlers
- FC Tokyo0-1Kashima Antlers
- Kashima Antlers2-0FC Tokyo
- Kashima Antlers2-1FC Tokyo
- FC Tokyo2-0Kashima Antlers
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tokyo (rating 1615 vs 1565).
- H2H favours Kashima Antlers: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Tokyo | Kashima Antlers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.8 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tokyo 1–1–4 Kashima Antlers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Japan J-League | Kashima Antlers | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Tokyo |
| 07/02/26 Japan J-League | FC Tokyo | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Kashima Antlers |
| 10/08/25 Japan J-League | FC Tokyo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Kashima Antlers |
| 01/03/25 Japan J-League | Kashima Antlers | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Tokyo |
| 20/07/24 Japan J-League | Kashima Antlers | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FC Tokyo |
| 07/04/24 Japan J-League | FC Tokyo | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Kashima Antlers |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 8 | 30 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 28 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 26 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 23 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 22 | 22 |
| 8 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 9 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 21 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 14 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 14 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 14 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 12 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 11 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 11 |
| 18 | JEF Utd Chiba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 10 |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 9 |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Tokyo | Kashima Antlers |
|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock | 6-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Kashiwa Reysol | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Tokyo Verdy | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Gamba Osaka | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Kyoto Sanga FC | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| V-Varen Nagasaki | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Tokyo (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Tokyo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 25/10 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
1-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/10 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 17/10 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 29/08 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Kashima Antlers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 24/10 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 21/10 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 17/10 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/10 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/09 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/09 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Tokyo win (53%). Probabilities: FC Tokyo 53%, draw 26%, Kashima Antlers 21%.
How many goals are expected in FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers?
The model expects 2.75 goals (FC Tokyo 1.72 · Kashima Antlers 1.02), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.