Football · Japan J-League · 08/11, 07:00
Prediction: Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka
Team pages: Gamba Osaka · Cerezo Osaka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Gamba Osaka1.43
Cerezo Osaka1.25
1X2
Gamba Osaka
Draw
Cerezo Osaka
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Gamba Osaka
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Cerezo Osaka
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gamba Osaka
2–1–3
Cerezo Osaka
(6 last)
- Gamba Osaka0-1Cerezo Osaka
- Cerezo Osaka0-0Gamba Osaka
- Cerezo Osaka0-1Gamba Osaka
- Gamba Osaka2-5Cerezo Osaka
- Cerezo Osaka1-0Gamba Osaka
- Gamba Osaka1-0Cerezo Osaka
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cerezo Osaka: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gamba Osaka | Cerezo Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.4 | 1.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gamba Osaka 2–1–3 Cerezo Osaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Japan J-League | Gamba Osaka | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Cerezo Osaka |
| 07/02/26 Japan J-League | Cerezo Osaka | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gamba Osaka |
| 05/07/25 Japan J-League | Cerezo Osaka | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gamba Osaka |
| 14/02/25 Japan J-League | Gamba Osaka | 2-5 HT 1-1 | Cerezo Osaka |
| 02/10/24 Japan J-League | Cerezo Osaka | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gamba Osaka |
| 06/05/24 Japan J-League | Gamba Osaka | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cerezo Osaka |
Standings · Japan J-League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 8 | 30 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 28 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 26 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 23 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 22 | 22 |
| 8 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 9 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 21 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 14 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 14 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 14 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 12 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 12 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 11 |
| 18 | JEF Utd Chiba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 10 |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 9 |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gamba Osaka | Cerezo Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Kashima Antlers | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Vissel Kobe | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| JEF Utd Chiba | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| V-Varen Nagasaki | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0-0 D | 1-6 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Gamba Osaka (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gamba Osaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 24/10 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 21/10 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/10 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/09 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
Cerezo Osaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 25/10 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 21/10 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 02/09 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gamba Osaka win (40%). Probabilities: Gamba Osaka 40%, draw 28%, Cerezo Osaka 32%.
How many goals are expected in Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Gamba Osaka 1.43 · Cerezo Osaka 1.25), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.