Football · Japan J-League · 08/11, 09:00

Prediction: JEF Utd Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock

Team pages: JEF Utd Chiba · Mito Hollyhock

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

JEF Utd Chiba1.65

Mito Hollyhock1.1

1X2

49% 27% 24%

JEF Utd Chiba Draw Mito Hollyhock

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

JEF Utd Chiba 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDLDDLDW

Mito Hollyhock 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DWDLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

JEF Utd Chiba 3–3–0 Mito Hollyhock (6 last)

JEF Utd Chiba1-1Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock1-1JEF Utd Chiba
Mito Hollyhock0-1JEF Utd Chiba
JEF Utd Chiba2-1Mito Hollyhock
JEF Utd Chiba4-0Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock0-0JEF Utd Chiba

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours JEF Utd Chiba: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JEF Utd Chiba	Mito Hollyhock
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	0.7 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.2	1.5 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	2.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.09 → 2.09	Pinn 2.09
X	3.47 → 3.47	Pinn 3.47
2	3.56 → 3.56	Pinn 3.56

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:03 +16’	2.09	3.47	3.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JEF Utd Chiba 3–3–0 Mito Hollyhock

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Japan J-League	JEF Utd Chiba	1-1 HT 0-1	Mito Hollyhock
22/02/26 Japan J-League	Mito Hollyhock	1-1 HT 1-1	JEF Utd Chiba
19/10/25 Japan J2-League	Mito Hollyhock	0-1 HT 0-0	JEF Utd Chiba
05/04/25 Japan J2-League	JEF Utd Chiba	2-1 HT 1-0	Mito Hollyhock
07/09/24 Japan J2-League	JEF Utd Chiba	4-0 HT 1-0	Mito Hollyhock
24/03/24 Japan J2-League	Mito Hollyhock	0-0 HT 0-0	JEF Utd Chiba

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tokyo	13	9	3	1	31	8	30
2	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	13	9	2	2	32	10	29
3	Machida Zelvia	13	8	4	1	30	10	28
4	Kashiwa Reysol	13	9	1	3	29	19	28
5	Vissel Kobe	13	8	2	3	21	12	26
6	Kashima Antlers	13	7	2	4	29	22	23
7	Kawasaki Frontale	13	6	4	3	27	22	22
8	Yokohama F-Marinos	13	5	6	2	20	14	21
9	Urawa Red Diamonds	13	7	0	6	21	27	21
10	Fagiano Okayama	13	5	1	7	15	21	16
11	Nagoya Grampus	13	4	2	7	15	21	14
12	Cerezo Osaka	13	3	5	5	13	23	14
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	13	4	2	7	10	22	14
14	Kyoto Sanga FC	13	3	4	6	17	23	13
15	V-Varen Nagasaki	13	3	3	7	16	21	12
16	Gamba Osaka	13	2	6	5	14	21	12
17	Tokyo Verdy	13	2	5	6	11	22	11
18	JEF Utd Chiba	13	2	4	7	15	24	10
19	Mito Hollyhock	13	2	3	8	12	25	9
20	Avispa Fukuoka	13	2	1	10	13	24	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JEF Utd Chiba	Mito Hollyhock
Avispa Fukuoka	3-0 W	1-1 D
Urawa Red Diamonds	2-3 L	0-1 L
Yokohama F-Marinos	0-0 D	0-2 L
Shimizu S-Pulse	1-2 L	1-2 L
Fagiano Okayama	1-2 L	0-2 L
Kawasaki Frontale	2-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: JEF Utd Chiba (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JEF Utd Chiba

LLWDLDDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
25/10	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	1-0	2-2	2	5	D
21/10	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	1-1	2-3	3	5	L
17/10	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
11/10	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	1-0	1-1	9	3	D
19/09	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	1-0	1-2	3	2	L
13/09	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
06/09	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
02/09	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
29/08	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	2-4	2-4	4	6	L

Mito Hollyhock

DWDLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	0-1	0-3	0	2	L
25/10	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	0-1	0-6	5	1	L
21/10	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	0-0	0-2	2	1	L
17/10	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
11/10	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
19/09	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
12/09	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
05/09	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
02/09	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	2-0	4-2	2	2	W
29/08	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	1-1	1-1	3	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JEF Utd Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JEF Utd Chiba win (49%). Probabilities: JEF Utd Chiba 49%, draw 27%, Mito Hollyhock 24%.

How many goals are expected in JEF Utd Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock?

The model expects 2.74 goals (JEF Utd Chiba 1.65 · Mito Hollyhock 1.1), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in JEF Utd Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.