Football · Japan J-League · 31/10, 06:00
Prediction: Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo
Team pages: Fagiano Okayama · FC Tokyo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Fagiano Okayama1.04
FC Tokyo1.37
1X2
Fagiano Okayama
Draw
FC Tokyo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Fagiano Okayama
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
FC Tokyo
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fagiano Okayama
1–1
FC Tokyo
(2 last)
- FC Tokyo3-1Fagiano Okayama
- Fagiano Okayama1-0FC Tokyo
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tokyo (rating 1510 vs 1614).
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fagiano Okayama | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.2 | 3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fagiano Okayama 1–0–1 FC Tokyo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/25 Japan J-League | FC Tokyo | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Fagiano Okayama |
| 06/04/25 Japan J-League | Fagiano Okayama | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Tokyo |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 20 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 8 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 18 |
| 9 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 18 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 14 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 14 |
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 13 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 12 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 10 |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 9 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 8 |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 7 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fagiano Okayama | FC Tokyo |
|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock | 2-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Kyoto Sanga FC | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| JEF Utd Chiba | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Nagoya Grampus | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Tokyo Verdy | 0-0 D | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 6 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Tokyo (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fagiano Okayama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 21/10 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
FC Tokyo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
1-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/10 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 17/10 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 29/08 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Tokyo win (43%). Probabilities: Fagiano Okayama 27%, draw 30%, FC Tokyo 43%.
How many goals are expected in Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Fagiano Okayama 1.04 · FC Tokyo 1.37), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.