Football · Japan J-League · 07/11, 07:00
Prediction: Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki
Team pages: Avispa Fukuoka · V-Varen Nagasaki
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Avispa Fukuoka1.06
V-Varen Nagasaki1.16
1X2
Avispa Fukuoka
Draw
V-Varen Nagasaki
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Avispa Fukuoka
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
V-Varen Nagasaki
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Avispa Fukuoka
3–3
V-Varen Nagasaki
(6 last)
- Avispa Fukuoka1-0V-Varen Nagasaki
- V-Varen Nagasaki1-0Avispa Fukuoka
- V-Varen Nagasaki0-2Avispa Fukuoka
- V-Varen Nagasaki1-3Avispa Fukuoka
- Avispa Fukuoka1-2V-Varen Nagasaki
- V-Varen Nagasaki1-0Avispa Fukuoka
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours V-Varen Nagasaki (rating 1402 vs 1471).
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Avispa Fukuoka | V-Varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.9 | 1.5 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Avispa Fukuoka 3–0–3 V-Varen Nagasaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Japan J-League | Avispa Fukuoka | 1-0 HT 0-0 | V-Varen Nagasaki |
| 15/03/26 Japan J-League | V-Varen Nagasaki | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Avispa Fukuoka |
| 13/07/22 Japan Cup | V-Varen Nagasaki | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Avispa Fukuoka |
| 27/09/20 Japan J2-League | V-Varen Nagasaki | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Avispa Fukuoka |
| 04/07/20 Japan J2-League | Avispa Fukuoka | 1-2 HT 0-0 | V-Varen Nagasaki |
| 07/09/19 Japan J2-League | V-Varen Nagasaki | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Avispa Fukuoka |
Standings · Japan J-League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 8 | 30 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 28 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 26 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 23 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 22 | 22 |
| 8 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 9 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 21 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 14 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 14 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 14 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 12 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 11 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 11 |
| 18 | JEF Utd Chiba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 10 |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 9 |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Avispa Fukuoka | V-Varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| JEF Utd Chiba | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Tokyo Verdy | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Gamba Osaka | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: V-Varen Nagasaki (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Avispa Fukuoka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 21/10 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 02/09 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
V-Varen Nagasaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/10 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 02/09 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
According to our model, the most likely result is an V-Varen Nagasaki win (37%). Probabilities: Avispa Fukuoka 32%, draw 32%, V-Varen Nagasaki 37%.
How many goals are expected in Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Avispa Fukuoka 1.06 · V-Varen Nagasaki 1.16), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.